Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe01fb59a2a471871af7c87c4cf89beb314bddce45795b548101ab1cd461101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 6,889$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.5 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked Yes | 71c | 4,894$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 4,498$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.44 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 2,428$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.77 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,393$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.51 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 35c | 1,463$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.07 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Yes | 56c | 999.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +253.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 77c | 924.94$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.4 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 44c | 874.39$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 25c | 828$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 22c | 799.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0600backed No | 44c | 797.73$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked No | 50c | 766.34$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…71c7backed Yes | 25c | 720$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 76c | 700$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 22c | 552.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.8 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 24c | 537.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.79 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17b…f7f5backed Yes | 56c | 432.25$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 24c | 412.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 25c | 408$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 381$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked No | 79c | 252.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 57c | 228.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…b113backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 75c | 207.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 24c | 193.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 80c | 180.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1935backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 57c | 176.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 24c | 154$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 78c | 143.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 45c | 137.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 25c | 127.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…3ad2backed No | 44c | 125.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed No | 78c | 120.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 65cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 50c | 116.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e3a0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…a031backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed Yes | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 46c | 84.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 79.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 75c | 62.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 25c | 60.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 61c | 59.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…b373backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 53.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 51.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 40c | 40.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +225%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…0f7fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 39c | 33.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked No | 51c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…758cbacked No | 50c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed No | 78c | 24.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…82ddbacked No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat Manchester City?this page
- Will Manchester City beat Juventus?No won
- Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.