Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8e1295a7b627b8f1f08380f7836796d71f793192ecd8bc6179378dcf83b9495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Yes | 65c | 62,759$40,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,793.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…4b7ebacked No | 35c | 62,759$21,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,793.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…10d5backed Yes | 64c | 20,125$12,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…16c0backed No | 36c | 20,125$7,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 34c | 3,473$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.55 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 35c | 2,497$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.93 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…7b07backed Yes | 70c | 2,400$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1,187.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,986$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 35c | 1,870$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 29c | 1,558$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.33 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 34c | 1,550$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.48 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 66c | 1,362$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 65c | 999.59$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 66c | 991.24$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 65c | 769.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 743.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 683$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 594.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 73c | 593$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…2f21backed Yes | 74c | 576.25$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 37c | 542.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.73 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 69c | 537.57$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 32c | 376.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 35c | 312.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…ba4abacked Yes | 65c | 308$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…83efbacked Yes | 75c | 301.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Yes | 66c | 300.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 35c | 286.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 34c | 265.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes | 65c | 256.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes | 66c | 255.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 62c | 236.48$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 32c | 231.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 65c | 220.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 66c | 220.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 67c | 210.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 70c | 199.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 32c | 198.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 69c | 191.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 75c | 187.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 70c | 158.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a63ebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 66c | 151.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 62c | 147.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…f503backed Yes | 65c | 145.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 145.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…2a8bbacked Yes | 74c | 140.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 71c | 140.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 65c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 66c | 126.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked Yes | 35c | 126.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 72c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 67c | 119.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 65c | 109.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 30c | 108.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 67c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 98.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…51f3backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…a882backed Yes | 65c | 87.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…b90ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 68c | 54.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 74c | 54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 76c | 52.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 34c | 51.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…1eb4backed Yes | 64c | 49.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…f779backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…c9cbbacked No | 32c | 44.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed Yes | 67c | 43.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…89b7backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…8acbbacked No | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…45aabacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…f3c8backed Yes | 80c | 35.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 68c | 30.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Esperance Sportive de Tunis win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Flamengo win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes won
- Will LAFC win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.