La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77fb0bdd862239b6d8f6869748a32a954754cf28d8770cc70a18d32f3a0ed06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 74c | 1,063$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 74c | 875.8$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 25c | 660.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 642$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…7cbebacked Yes | 29c | 324.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 27c | 302.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 73c | 244.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 214.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 27c | 214.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a72…03dabacked Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 14c | 191.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 132$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 18c | 129$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…f067backed No | 78c | 106.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 74c | 87.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 73c | 84.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 26c | 75.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…21f5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…ad83backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 43.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 25c | 43.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.