TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$859,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$956,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No17c231,405$40,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,225.69450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No18c104,219$18,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,759.412626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No17c61,107$10,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,253.793834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No18c25,388$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.8710335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No17c12,272$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.2431944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No17c8,440$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No22c6,565$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.64454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No17c6,050$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.4920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No20c5,002$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.2251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No17c4,859$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.033672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No18c3,499$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.177035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c3,121$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.984,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No18c2,841$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.472123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No17c2,643$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No12c2,414$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No18c2,340$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No18c1,990$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.26744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No17c1,810$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.731225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd7…b8e3backed No18c1,800$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked No17c1,717$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c4…7ef8backed No18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No15c1,395$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.252520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No18c1,200$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9948150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No1c1,125$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No15c1,028$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb7…95b2backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c845.53$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5832…3dacbacked No18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes69c770$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No28c708.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.344852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No3c690$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.720744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No16c672.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked No14c599.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No17c598.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.73046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No17c564$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.888943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e89…edfcbacked No3c554.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No16c533$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.285240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No17c481.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7719460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No16c402.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked Yes76c386.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.781323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No24c354$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.176251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No30c324$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.225329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No17c299.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.954254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No9c298.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4325545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed No19c264.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No28c259.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.797335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes78c256.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.542740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes72c250.85$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.241560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No17c176$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No7c172.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.234235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes72c148.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.613548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…9303backed No13c143$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…029abacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1354128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed No16c112.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed No29c101.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No15c99.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf17…3eeebacked Yes74c95.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes69c84.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.275745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes72c77.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7226548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed No17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No17c60.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14fc…a246backed No18c57.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…a9dfbacked Yes79c56.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.567347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…3561backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes72c49.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.741154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…b07dbacked Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed Yes75c40.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.072373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d2…7110backed Yes70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…bce0backed Yes68c21.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8459…8bd2backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7188…f812backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.