Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd895ed2c9a4965dd92baec270a46a64842fa0c4093750f62eae913c3a10648d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 5c | 4,423$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 6c | 4,304$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 2,338$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 6c | 1,723$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,018$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,005$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 5c | 823$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 5c | 651.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 6c | 616.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 8c | 588.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 586$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…e830backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 9c | 299.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 7c | 279.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 263$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.