TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No27c82,635$22,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,311.372040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes73c70,802$51,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,116.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c17,506$12,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.161,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No28c12,500$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No29c9,292$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.572128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No25c6,574$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.1521560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes74c6,097$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.37450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No25c4,045$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.914654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No28c4,031$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No26c3,952$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.3114452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c3,197$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.2713348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes73c3,152$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.7223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes73c2,739$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes76c2,647$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c2,594$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.231,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.997529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Yes74c1,949$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.652669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No14c1,761$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No27c1,682$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5211355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes72c1,264$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.886960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes72c1,191$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5119055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No29c1,159$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No18c1,158$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.774839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes72c890.47$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes73c851.37$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes73c799$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.731872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes73c715.19$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…789abacked Yes70c711.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No5c605.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No24c599.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No18c536.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes73c534.89$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.326850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes77c512.12$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes74c468.19$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes75c449.41$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes72c432.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.21862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No15c423.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes76c421.66$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.661442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…e95fbacked Yes75c416.81$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No25c400.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.081612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes76c345.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes73c335.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.037100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes75c282.48$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes73c275.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9714340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbea5…489ebacked Yes70c265.5$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c248.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No20c246.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes72c220.57$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.761850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No28c220$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.342860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No27c220$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf322…1cf1backed Yes72c208.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed No27c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No24c180.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2182…c6d8backed Yes76c168.62$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes75c166.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.675156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes75c163.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Yes74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…9133backed Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb3…db5dbacked No29c151.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes73c150.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.683053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes75c150.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No28c141.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes72c125.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes73c111.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b72…29d9backed Yes72c104.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c39…9f30backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3d…c9d9backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.