TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes56c80,092$44,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,335.462035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No44c35,408$15,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,580.8412551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No46c35,076$16,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,135.0317248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No45c32,145$14,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,368.273638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes56c29,572$16,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,055.7727453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0009450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes56c11,786$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.79459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No45c9,782$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.44247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c8,776$5,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.994,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6001586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…e5ddbacked No45c4,150$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c3,553$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.863,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes55c2,600$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes58c2,258$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No45c2,217$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes55c2,209$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.987321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No29c1,992$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.1730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No45c1,754$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.3610956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No45c1,639$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.338828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6757060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.571952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No45c1,400$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6231353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes55c1,356$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c1,353$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.7940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes54c1,000$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4576235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes52c760$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c734.24$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No45c700$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c674$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No48c650.96$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.466544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No47c584.21$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No44c553.57$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.574148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7110437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c495.28$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9220255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes54c421.76$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes56c417$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.482934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c362.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.511457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes55c346.71$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.022560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes56c333$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.527525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No44c318$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes58c290.65$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.767100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c272$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No36c266$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No45c229.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes55c225.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes55c213$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes56c205.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3614759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.723847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes59c169.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.555947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed No45c149.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No44c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.798858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No48c93.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8410248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes52c91.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912050%10 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7326545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No44c67.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No44c67.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No45c67.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.418961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…b07dbacked Yes55c58.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.181566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes57c57.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8915062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No44c53.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.345046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No34c51.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3217155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No48c38.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4611261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd99e…b859backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7128342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.