TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No55c123,773$68,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,392.538241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes45c120,109$53,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,948.759146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes46c116,169$53,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,486.3812848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No55c75,034$41,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,691.245360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes45c53,678$24,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,350.374459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c52,619$29,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,444.031,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,999.997842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked No53c43,543$23,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,465.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes44c41,000$18,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,1487060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c40,041$18,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,737.8829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No53c22,001$11,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,235.889857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No53c17,000$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.894746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No54c16,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,359.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes47c15,376$7,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,222.9217852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No53c13,372$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.6117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf413…7b6dbacked No54c11,200$6,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes44c7,500$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.995040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No53c7,247$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.6510051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes47c7,233$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.6825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2207052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c6,416$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.2438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No55c6,337$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.0310660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes44c6,300$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7581729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No72c6,283$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.114952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No52c5,763$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.473522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df1…dae3backed Yes47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No53c5,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9922147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3904…0dcfbacked No55c4,380$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f9…8aa2backed Yes47c4,370$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf189…4c6bbacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9c…107cbacked Yes47c3,800$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d1…12b4backed Yes48c3,342$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c3,300$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53311649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+153.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes44c3,064$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes39c2,971$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1704254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No54c2,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes27c2,733$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.899444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No52c2,714$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.8539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No69c2,690$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.13850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes44c2,581$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.1716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17519453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No53c2,457$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.78259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes47c2,444$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…9ba3backed Yes47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes47c2,350$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.993336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes33c2,142$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8621037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.996241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf066…0e59backed Yes40c1,874$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No55c1,737$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.3416853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512b…c0c3backed Yes47c1,678$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf624…acc7backed No54c1,678$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c1,627$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.4338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460e…2efbbacked Yes47c1,495$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c42…2973backed No54c1,495$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes46c1,377$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes37c1,358$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No54c1,346$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93b…ac2ebacked Yes47c1,278$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes47c1,230$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5782470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No55c1,215$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.637953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe673…68a2backed Yes31c1,153$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c1,045$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45029136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes46c999.98$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.994751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No54c999.95$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.974744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes7c900.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.029336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed No53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…c572backed No53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf3…213abacked Yes46c870$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes47c829.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c819.23$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.411,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes47c806.63$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.348051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes48c800.38$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35213847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed No53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4932…ba11backed Yes45c784.44$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Yes45c775.56$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes47c744.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f92…b5f8backed No59c735.71$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.711040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes45c734.78$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No67c734.68$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8917048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes35c700.72$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9810330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes46c649.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes46c602.47$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.142528%7 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes12c600$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes46c592.97$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.763652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No53c577.29$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.638652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.