TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked No70c23,178$16,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,951.748259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x265e…dcb1backed Yes31c5,038$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes30c4,910$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.954936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No69c4,824$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.1238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c4,028$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.3729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c3,651$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.1438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes32c3,078$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4b…2410backed No71c2,800$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed No73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.732080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes30c2,586$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6e…2bfebacked No72c2,250$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes43c2,183$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,033$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4740222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6408151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c1,618$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.826955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c1,522$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…3139backed No71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364030%12 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed1…e492backed No70c1,014$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31019453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes30c997.16$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No37c926.64$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes32c924.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No68c895.69$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c833$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.817466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No37c813.69$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.99046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes31c725.81$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No40c619.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.713048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes33c608.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes29c600.4$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.817052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.953951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c547.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.881,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No44c533.57$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.715360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No67c509.88$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2617048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc4…e44abacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8562…b772backed No70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes27c485.85$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.182250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes48c461.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.849336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes6c410$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes35c380$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13324963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Yes32c358.94$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed No72c357.7$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes33c354.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.992045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.58653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No67c329.5$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7312147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd9…aebdbacked No70c318.21$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+36.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes32c285.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed No36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+85.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes32c245.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.441844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No70c242.25$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c240.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1612938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No80c225.24$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No36c221$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No71c205$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No61c200.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.814044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8474…0c67backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…c0f8backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No39c187.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.793423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No41c187$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.784151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes29c186.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547526.7%20 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No7c179.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.032927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes29c174.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c152.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.121,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No70c149.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8918950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9319645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No70c143.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7910051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9c…a734backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…2d65backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No72c142.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.789556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes28c135.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.028241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c135.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…2462backed Yes32c134.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked No39c128.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes29c117$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9313238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes29c112.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0113927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.