La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a151e5d3055185869d539b4656ca6e9bb224f1390386468f7419aecf3641bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 12,241$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.46 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 8,446$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.02 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 6,334$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…9a51backed Yes | 59c | 4,967$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 59c | 3,085$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 42c | 3,009$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.27 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,137$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed No | 44c | 2,063$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…828cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,062$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed No | 44c | 2,017$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…e35fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,016$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 17c | 1,652$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.84 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 42c | 1,643$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.97 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 41c | 1,480$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.05 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Yes | 58c | 1,204$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 41c | 1,043$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 41c | 813.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.24 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 57c | 688.02$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.17 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 57c | 670.01$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 635.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 41c | 611.61$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.84 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 19c | 573.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 56c | 445.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 58c | 427.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…8771backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…668cbacked Yes | 58c | 351.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 57c | 349.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 59c | 322.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 56c | 292.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 256$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…550dbacked Yes | 60c | 250.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…9828backed No | 42c | 249.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…14f2backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 41c | 235.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 55c | 215.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 66c | 206.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 59c | 201.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 57c | 198.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 42c | 185.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…4f97backed Yes | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…de0dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…e193backed Yes | 59c | 168.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 40c | 164.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 57c | 154.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 59c | 144.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 23c | 140$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 56c | 139$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Yes | 58c | 136.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes | 59c | 131.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…b190backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…0054backed Yes | 59c | 103.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…e68ebacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…f037backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…aae9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…5c79backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…9762backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…e10ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…6485backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…447abacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…0813backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5d8abacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e0d5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 41c | 98.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 59c | 88.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…bfb1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?this page
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-29?Yes won
- Will Valencia vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.