La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5309bd23b725d585f41a485799a6bb09f26bc7a3ff3b09cbf24e536782cca11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 73c | 3,750$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 73c | 3,681$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.95 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 1,764$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked No | 73c | 1,452$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Yes | 27c | 1,450$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked No | 73c | 1,424$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Yes | 27c | 1,423$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 23c | 561.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 455$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 27c | 378.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 378.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 28c | 357.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 342.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 274.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 253.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 215.55$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 135.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 25c | 99.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 49.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 74c | 35.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-29?Yes won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.