La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc6b88b534c8133f3d519de5976514368167193fe26efcd4e4775a567895479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atletico Madridof Atletico Madrid, Real Betis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Atletico Madrid | 42c | 306.47$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…361dbacked Real Betis | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Real Betis | 58c | 239.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Atletico Madrid | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Atletico Madrid | 41c | 199.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Real Betis | 52c | 183.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Betis | 7c | 147.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Real Betis | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Atletico Madrid | 44c | 120.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Real Betis | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atletico Madrid | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atletico Madrid | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Real Betis | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Real Betis | 55c | 63.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Real Betis | 56c | 57.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…7294backed Atletico Madrid | 44c | 53.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Atletico Madrid | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Real Betis | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…66b0backed Atletico Madrid | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…1c75backed Real Betis | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Real Betis | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Real Betis | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…adc1backed Real Betis | 59c | 27.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-0.5)this page
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.