Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276878c26d53ebc689a6a97a8ff5af82122abbafb3b3aa14f71f481e3990d81c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Up | 47c | 11,722$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Down | 75c | 6,991$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.83 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Down | 63c | 6,837$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 48c | 5,381$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.09 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked Up | 41c | 4,874$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Down | 66c | 3,900$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 40c | 3,776$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.27 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Up | 35c | 3,443$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.25 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Down | 68c | 2,229$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 47c | 1,943$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.07 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…57cfbacked Up | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Up | 41c | 1,572$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked Up | 55c | 1,492$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Up | 39c | 1,450$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Up | 40c | 1,103$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…936dbacked Up | 39c | 1,080$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.88 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…0a1bbacked Up | 48c | 1,018$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…ec00backed Down | 60c | 999$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Up | 8c | 922.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Down | 45c | 812.67$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 64c | 800$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…c45cbacked Down | 39c | 646.97$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…adc7backed Up | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Up | 43c | 461.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Up | 57c | 380.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…cb06backed Up | 39c | 374.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Up | 38c | 249.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 357 | 50.4%180 W · 177 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…100cbacked Up | 33c | 243.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…bcfdbacked Up | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Up | 78c | 219.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…b84fbacked Up | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Up | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…fd8dbacked Up | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Up | 32c | 195$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Up | 10c | 190.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Down | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +11.0wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…37b0backed Up | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Down | 43c | 157.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…4404backed Down | 23c | 152.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…3bbbbacked Up | 43c | 151.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Up | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…b114backed Up | 43c | 144.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…c364backed Down | 53c | 138.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…714abacked Up | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…3002backed Up | 72c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Down | 73c | 112.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Up | 67c | 111.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Up | 44c | 101.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…b51ebacked Down | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…d71abacked Up | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…49ebbacked Up | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…826bbacked Down | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Up | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…e458backed Up | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…384ebacked Up | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4afbbacked Down | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Down | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…82d1backed Up | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…6019backed Up | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Down | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…0a81backed Up | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…5635backed Up | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…24dcbacked Down | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…e23ebacked Up | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…d578backed Up | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…e105backed Up | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…5409backed Up | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…646bbacked Up | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…47cdbacked Down | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Down | 38c | 55.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Down | 58c | 53.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Up | 43c | 48.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…f804backed Up | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…3a9dbacked Up | 43c | 46.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…9542backed Up | 57c | 44.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…60f9backed Up | 40c | 43.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…4e8ebacked Down | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…7426backed Up | 57c | 38.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…fd1dbacked Down | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Up | 46c | 36.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5083backed Down | 56c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…d8e3backed Up | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Down | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…063cbacked Down | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…17b7backed Up | 63c | 25.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b1…dcc0backed Down | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…605abacked Down | 68c | 23.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…2ef1backed Down | 77c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed Up | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…e94bbacked Down | 74c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Down | 54c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…6a5ebacked Down | 79c | 16.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…5c7abacked Up | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.