Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d84206ebda85fe26ac0f413f463c7029887a95c5bbc344e266bf4f0a0c2659d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $186,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,334 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	47c	12,867$6,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,076.9	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	50c	11,458$5,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,758.93	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	23c	9,550$2,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,353.57	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	18c	7,222$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,889.5	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	36c	7,053$2,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,528.43	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0343…f2dcbacked No	77c	6,494$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	71c	4,720$3,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,345.66	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	18c	4,313$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,518.84	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed No	76c	3,558$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No	67c	3,275$2,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.23	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	22c	3,125$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.58	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	42c	3,030$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.04	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed No	23c	2,857$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.37	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	80c	2,750$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.74	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	77c	2,503$1,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,927.06	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	49c	2,373$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.72	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	21c	2,340$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840.48	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	1c	2,225$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	41c	2,210$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.16	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	11c	2,151$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.61	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	20c	2,029$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.17	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	12c	2,000$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.54	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	47c	1,999$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.42	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes	79c	1,897$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.27	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	32c	1,825$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.48	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No	20c	1,800$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	10c	1,761$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.93	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	74c	1,690$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.28	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	10c	1,649$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.92	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	22c	1,610$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e9…e288backed No	80c	1,515$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.09	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	21c	1,491$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	46c	1,389$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.49	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes	79c	1,345$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.44	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	46c	1,343$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.33	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	12c	1,256$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.71	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x712d…3d9abacked No	13c	1,192$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	57c	1,124$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.8	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf0…e8c1backed No	77c	1,124$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.12	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c41…1365backed No	13c	1,115$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	27c	1,060$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.66	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	12c	1,028$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No	19c	1,020$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.8	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	74c	997.37$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.05	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0817…f6e2backed No	22c	997.05$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	36c	992.66$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.13	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	78c	991.62$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.16	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1d…4fe9backed No	17c	987.05$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.16	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed No	69c	941.17$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.41	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	76c	900.55$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.98	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	16c	855.33$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.48	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	22c	815$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.12	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	11c	770.78$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.79	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes	29c	747.97$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.76	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	59c	657.41$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.35	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	16c	619.04$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed Yes	79c	613.97$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.93	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	27c	558.89$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.94	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	56c	526.24$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.08	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	78c	524$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.39	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked Yes	22c	481.82$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.82	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…8d90backed No	22c	477$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.41	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes	78c	468$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.62	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e84…a101backed No	12c	458.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	31c	450$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	74c	447.48$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Yes	75c	431$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.75	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa731…65dabacked No	77c	417.75$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe164…56c1backed No	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	20c	405$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.94	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7976…310abacked No	75c	398.52$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.89	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…fe76backed No	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	24c	378.92$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.4	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	17c	378$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.12	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	11c	360.84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.69	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	13c	344.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.46	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b49…2e46backed No	74c	337.84$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf99…6a48backed No	76c	326.21$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.55	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	18c	319.57$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.52	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	47c	315.32$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.97	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	77c	299.34$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.95	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	70c	297.39$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.64	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	25c	295.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.85	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x966f…9ba6backed No	13c	295.38$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed No	34c	278.12$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.9	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	278$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.1	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	11c	271.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	24c	267.49$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.94	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	20c	263.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.44	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed No	44c	260$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75a…0b81backed No	77c	259.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	25c	246.5$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.16	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	30c	246.26$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed No	19c	244.45$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.42	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfe…8abfbacked No	73c	243.85$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.01	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	77c	236.5$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.95	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No	13c	229.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event