TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed No79c29,362$23,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.0253448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Yes21c20,983$4,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.491030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes21c15,600$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.1322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes19c8,197$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.3813331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes20c6,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed No79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes14c3,948$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes23c2,181$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes15c1,478$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22722834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes16c1,382$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c1,331$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes12c1,219$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Yes30c1,184$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.939254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3216540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed Yes20c1,007$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes20c975$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes21c974.5$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.375630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3342…309abacked Yes11c898.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e1…65c8backed No78c796.38$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+167.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes18c645.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1118839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed No79c636.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.923070%21 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed No80c626.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes20c621.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1526940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50449.1%4 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed No79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes16c494.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.352751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes16c473.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8134151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No78c471.1$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6812744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes12c438.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7121239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes30c419$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.726949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…cf01backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes14c413.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.54327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c407.29$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.482,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes9c393.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.451266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes20c363.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.38936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes21c357.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757815.4%12 W · 66 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c329.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…9c26backed Yes24c319.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed No80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes20c308.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6114750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes19c285.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes8c282.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes20c273$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.614130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No79c271.01$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.323644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No78c255.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.254647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No76c253.7$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc509…5ae3backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No77c252.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.417945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed Yes20c236.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.344926.5%13 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…9ab0backed Yes21c236.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed Yes19c229.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c227.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…3527backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed Yes20c226.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No74c225.85$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.724650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c212.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7ae8…5a42backed No79c205.09$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa741…8d0ebacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…8bfabacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1f…d9c3backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402060%12 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5768…08fdbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-56.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024043.3%104 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes19c199.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No68c192.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.951,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No80c175.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9625160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a63…2eb3backed No80c162.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed Yes9c160.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3128148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked Yes18c146.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked Yes26c146$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.745257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Yes21c130.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4515550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5818353%97 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5426…bb98backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b13…0c4abacked Yes22c122.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.645831%18 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes22c111.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No78c102$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9717828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdb…4496backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf72…2a2cbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023855.5%132 W · 106 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked No79c99.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8a…7d9cbacked No78c89.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Yes23c86.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.569530.5%29 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…d582backed Yes19c84.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157944.3%35 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5635848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.