TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cae…a00abacked Yes36c14,447$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.581030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No69c10,173$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.7253448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes10c9,594$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes12c9,361$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1473823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes8c8,343$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4310833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No64c3,887$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.4614860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed No64c3,067$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.276547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c2,976$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No73c2,800$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.2316139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes31c2,657$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.6717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes31c2,359$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9317828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes27c2,142$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.1212945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No63c2,016$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.094050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes30c1,999$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.426940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No75c1,982$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1814534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes9c1,829$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes34c1,594$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.258936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed Yes35c1,579$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.551637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.154957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No65c1,430$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes35c1,427$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.292,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes30c1,221$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4822834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No70c1,078$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1319929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes37c1,005$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.75630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes10c999.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8943635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c799.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No65c777$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2835033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No63c766.42$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.586744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes24c710.1$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4334151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2596965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed No73c685.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.962356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes10c652.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.22633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes31c650.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No67c650$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.522449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No79c631.41$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3423644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed No66c606.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.671580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed Yes9c553.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Yes30c539.8$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No67c535.87$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.220932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1259637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No66c464.69$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5128547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No65c456$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes8c450.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3625638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes11c438.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3221239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No64c438$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.525253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No70c436.63$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.095026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked No61c420$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes31c407.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3624541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes34c399.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.999723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Yes9c399.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.76541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed No64c379.48$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.614544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes29c357.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7913331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes9c347.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes27c345$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.15219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No73c345$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2515261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No73c345$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.153458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes28c343.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.054327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed Yes36c313.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.031323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035858.6%34 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa154…321cbacked No68c299.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes35c285.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007815.4%12 W · 66 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x816c…ac2cbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No70c284$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0823741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed Yes11c283.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.152714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No72c277.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.944647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe67c…c0fabacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes7c262.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9715345.8%70 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked No77c260.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4410740.2%43 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c255.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked No72c253.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.610100%10 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes28c253.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf79…dfb4backed Yes10c249.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d4a…4256backed Yes30c241$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.32944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No60c234$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed No67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19df…4404backed No71c211.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.241675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d21…0bb3backed No66c207.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7217632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…d9c3backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662060%12 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae8…5a42backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667660.5%46 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes30c199.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.597319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No63c197$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4519445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes30c196.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594020%8 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c189.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.717799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd2…87f8backed Yes18c183.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes31c166.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5151250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c164.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.452,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes32c164.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4242737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0c…92c1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe871…8ae7backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.