Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b37d3e123b994a315fc445ab4fdbb94bb2fa111437b6305a44a7fcd18c3d217

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $409,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $406,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2275…fb3cbacked No	0c	54,820$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.64	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked No	0c	45,750$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked No	0c	45,560$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.12	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2e…9f22backed No	0c	24,080$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No	3c	4,500$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.5	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe424…8edfbacked No	1c	2,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x245f…877bbacked No	5c	2,345$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-88.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…bc55backed No	5c	1,694$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed No	4c	1,463$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.91	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	1c	1,276$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	4c	1,030$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85a…a2edbacked No	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9b…5ba4backed No	5c	983.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…e0b2backed No	5c	948.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	4c	875.27$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.39	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4f…04bbbacked No	4c	721.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb20b…d46ebacked No	3c	606.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa846…c969backed No	5c	594.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed No	3c	585.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	5c	558.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c4…f3e2backed No	5c	509.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa136…9977backed No	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-94.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	3c	499.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	4c	478.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No	4c	371.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	4c	305.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff15…78acbacked No	4c	257.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9f…cff6backed No	4c	243.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event