Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0d83e891497ded91678ee5a6d58dede9b8f1adad52fa3e0b534359b737302c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $157,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,829 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0121…f722backed No	16c	9,994$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.98	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	23c	7,888$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.28	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes	1c	7,838$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,728.1	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed No	26c	6,200$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	5c	6,195$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.22	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes	77c	6,103$4,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.48	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	9c	5,448$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.68	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed Yes	74c	3,200$2,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	78c	2,765$2,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.54	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	6c	2,702$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	75c	2,657$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.41	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No	21c	2,131$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.22	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	16c	2,092$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.97	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	17c	2,000$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.49	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	23c	1,713$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.3	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	16c	1,713$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.49	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	15c	1,680$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.3	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	17c	1,613$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.76	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	15c	1,412$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.41	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	16c	1,110$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.78	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	11c	1,053$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.04	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0baf…390abacked No	22c	1,021$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.52	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	78c	999.99$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	23c	992.5$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.27	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No	4c	945.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.87	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	65c	936.28$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.83	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed No	26c	896.86$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.78	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	4c	706.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	14c	684.49$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.59	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed No	20c	680$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf289…4e1fbacked No	8c	669.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	12c	664.3$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.72	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	9c	661.86$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	10c	657.96$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeed…ca05backed Yes	80c	602.14$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.14	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	24c	571.08$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.41	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	8c	546.48$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed No	16c	509.95$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…43c8backed No	6c	473.05$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	8c	450.62$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.94	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	79c	450$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.2	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	19c	434.98$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No	22c	430.02$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.6	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes	72c	415.17$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.04	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	23c	414.29$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.02	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	79c	408$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.68	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	4c	399.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	5c	396$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf327…c995backed Yes	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	92	23.9%22 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	11c	288.75$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	24c	285.64$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.55	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed No	21c	284$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.64	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd1d…4fe9backed No	23c	281.23$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	8c	270.21$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.74	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	77c	268.73$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.79	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe061…dcc6backed No	12c	260.52$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	8c	260$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	10c	252.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed No	20c	252.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.43	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	7c	234.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.12	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed No	22c	227$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.94	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5344…7dc1backed No	9c	225.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No	9c	211$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	22c	204.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	78c	203.29$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.58	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Yes	77c	201.38$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.32	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e99…a043backed No	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked No	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd06…64e0backed No	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	20c	180.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	8c	180$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	19c	178.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	16c	176$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	76c	171.11$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.69	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No	14c	165$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.82	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No	7c	157.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked No	19c	149.54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes	62c	148.23$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes	79c	140$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Yes	13c	139.08$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.46	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	77c	135$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.05	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…3337backed No	25c	132$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf79…dfb4backed No	8c	128$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b61…aba2backed Yes	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7903…685bbacked No	13c	120.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	16c	119.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No	11c	110.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes	73c	106.64$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.38	225	60.4%136 W · 89 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked No	14c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…e6eabacked No	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed No	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Yes	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event