Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339817a52eeb97cc6cf99afee47a61dbc83244a4266a947d19f9b21aa9d7bbd3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $260,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $270,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,379 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4da7…7abdbacked No	18c	30,625$5,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,512.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	23c	23,120$5,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,202.99	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0343…f2dcbacked Yes	79c	10,437$8,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,170.32	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…c9cabacked No	15c	10,322$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Yes	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	80c	9,979$7,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,011.69	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	23c	8,554$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	8c	8,378$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.91	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9b…e829backed No	18c	8,341$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	22c	7,567$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.83	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d78…4cc1backed No	15c	5,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.99	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	23c	4,192$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.8	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	21c	3,308$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.72	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No	17c	3,245$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.9	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	19c	2,876$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	78c	2,462$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.73	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…93c5backed Yes	79c	2,405$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.8	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	21c	2,347$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.78	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	79c	2,161$1,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.96	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked No	12c	1,505$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.8	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed No	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	17c	1,400$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No	23c	1,379$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.1	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	21c	1,356$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.98	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	10c	1,285$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.65	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	17c	1,235$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.72	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	17c	1,194$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed No	26c	1,174$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed No	6c	1,158$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	18c	1,127$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.34	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	79c	1,103$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.54	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	21c	1,031$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.41	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	23c	1,003$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.5	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	78c	937.91$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.12	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	79c	825.53$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.61	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb960…a1afbacked No	17c	815.88$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked No	19c	779.99$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked No	21c	760.64$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.73	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes	80c	737.79$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.56	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	7c	697.8$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.67	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	15c	651.51$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.76	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	8c	650$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fd…d854backed Yes	74c	627.39$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No	21c	610.14$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.13	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked No	25c	575.91$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes	77c	506.45$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.48	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	18c	503.47$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1c2…cab0backed No	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked No	8c	472.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	8c	467$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	18c	454.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.15	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	77c	436.39$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.37	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Yes	79c	399.59$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.84	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked No	15c	371$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68aa…34fcbacked Yes	77c	361.41$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.57	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	17c	359.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No	16c	359.23$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.48	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	14c	330$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.04	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	21c	325$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.25	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes	76c	321.17$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.67	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…9c26backed No	24c	314.77$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.95	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	17c	312$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	16c	305$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.36	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked No	15c	300.58$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.34	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	18c	300$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes	76c	299.99$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes	79c	293.16$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.56	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked No	21c	287.76$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.43	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked No	16c	287.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	7c	286.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed No	21c	276.55$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.32	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	18c	273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	14c	271.01$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.06	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…a54bbacked Yes	75c	267.91$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.91	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0b…4efabacked Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes	79c	263.54$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked Yes	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	16c	250$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	75c	250$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed No	21c	250$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a39…14c8backed No	14c	248$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…67d3backed No	15c	247.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No	17c	231.82$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.41	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	10c	209.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes	79c	208.83$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.83	173	57.8%100 W · 73 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed No	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	5c	200.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked Yes	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	77c	185$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.87	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	14c	184.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce17…c3d0backed No	11c	182.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fc…d364backed No	20c	177.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	24c	171.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event