Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc653f62f920611da9f0736053581b5cbbc670c07c6a68bea69693e12ee9a119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 5,200$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.42 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 25c | 1,901$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.23 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,415$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.95 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,407$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 33c | 1,250$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,007$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 33c | 945.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 8c | 659.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 35c | 428.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 305$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 17c | 255.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 254.32$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 9c | 224$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed REKONIX | 15c | 206.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 36c | 171.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 37c | 168.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 24c | 161.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 161.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 35c | 154.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 29c | 146.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 138.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 26c | 109.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed REKONIX | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 16c | 99.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed REKONIX | 39c | 87.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…c964backed REKONIX | 15c | 80.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 38c | 60.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed REKONIX | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 37.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.