Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ed06314fdb7db9067a2564d580f366ca2b48a5fd95f5db0056a288d97bf758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,773$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 28c | 1,397$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 999.97$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 908.24$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 744.02$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed REKONIX | 16c | 540.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked REKONIX | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed REKONIX | 33c | 468.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 5c | 454.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed REKONIX | 8c | 415$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 345.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked REKONIX | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 290.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked REKONIX | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 258.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 19c | 255.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked REKONIX | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 34c | 245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX | 37c | 244.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed REKONIX | 5c | 204.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 37c | 165.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 35c | 144.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked REKONIX | 17c | 119.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…3cc4backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 100.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 37c | 99.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 85.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 82.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…376abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed REKONIX | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked REKONIX | 21c | 60.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed REKONIX | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 21c | 56.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed REKONIX | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…806dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 51.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX | 22c | 51.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed REKONIX | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REKONIX | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 41.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed REKONIX | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 35.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 36c | 35.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.