Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa48e17db2978db4dbe39b32a19e3b4ba07b40e8625ed6a4ab5995ecc11beb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 13,004$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.81 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 8,000$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed REKONIX | 39c | 6,000$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.6 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 42c | 4,250$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.4 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,050$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked REKONIX | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 45c | 3,079$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.08 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,700$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked REKONIX | 39c | 1,872$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.24 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 49c | 1,862$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.66 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 43c | 1,548$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 49c | 1,528$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.61 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 1,516$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.01 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 48c | 1,455$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 43c | 1,328$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.48 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed REKONIX | 46c | 1,078$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,035$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.65 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,016$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed REKONIX | 38c | 916$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 44c | 908.28$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 880.96$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.82 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 38c | 845.75$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed REKONIX | 40c | 804.3$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 794.39$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 782.65$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 704.6$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 695.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed REKONIX | 41c | 644.69$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed REKONIX | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 43c | 576.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 570.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 548.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 6c | 482.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 56c | 446$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed REKONIX | 45c | 437.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed REKONIX | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 50c | 349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked REKONIX | 39c | 338.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 38c | 317.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 311.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX | 39c | 283$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 260$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 33c | 243.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 234.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 233.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 43c | 219.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked REKONIX | 46c | 218.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REKONIX | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 193.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed REKONIX | 22c | 185.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed REKONIX | 30c | 167.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 40c | 166.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 165.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 163.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 154.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked REKONIX | 16c | 144.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 134.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed REKONIX | 26c | 134$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 20c | 128.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 124.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 41c | 115.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked REKONIX | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 63c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 38c | 95.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 72.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REKONIX | 43c | 70.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked REKONIX | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 62.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 27c | 57.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 44c | 55.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 53.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 44c | 52.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 47.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 34c | 44.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed REKONIX | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.