Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0afba0c91ab75835dac3a656de6290484c4ceeff704cacf4c0a0af074700112a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof REKONIX, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 6,356$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed REKONIX | 33c | 3,855$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.44 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 26c | 1,890$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.96 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 22c | 1,747$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,374$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.27 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 21c | 1,316$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.43 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,175$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.77 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 1,056$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.23 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed REKONIX | 20c | 948.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked REKONIX | 35c | 848.19$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 718.84$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 534.22$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 29c | 447.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 408.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked REKONIX | 31c | 370.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked REKONIX | 28c | 359.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 258.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed REKONIX | 32c | 254$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed REKONIX | 34c | 237.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…c964backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 237.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 225.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked REKONIX | 32c | 219.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed REKONIX | 34c | 216$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 206.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 179.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REKONIX | 37c | 151.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 121.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 119.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed REKONIX | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…ac2dbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 97.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed REKONIX | 32c | 92.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked REKONIX | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed REKONIX | 14c | 84.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked REKONIX | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed REKONIX | 22c | 79.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed REKONIX | 16c | 78.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed REKONIX | 24c | 76.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…ae3ebacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked REKONIX | 31c | 70.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed REKONIX | 15c | 69.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked REKONIX | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 43.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…2b19backed REKONIX | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed REKONIX | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked REKONIX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed REKONIX | 33c | 39.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 26.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 19.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.