Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498ed4f05906727945cc52a50a78950c5ba2c7efc48f355ad30f26838d7538bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof REKONIX, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 32,561$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560.56 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 18,500$13,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,163.21 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 11,302$8,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.39 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 8,750$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.31 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed REKONIX | 32c | 8,608$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.01 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked REKONIX | 25c | 7,610$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked REKONIX | 27c | 7,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 7,298$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.61 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 5,901$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.35 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 29c | 5,171$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.56 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 4,841$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.81 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked REKONIX | 30c | 4,762$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 30c | 4,750$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed REKONIX | 31c | 4,536$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.26 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 28c | 4,533$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed REKONIX | 30c | 4,348$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.88 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.03 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked REKONIX | 28c | 4,049$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.6 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed REKONIX | 26c | 3,854$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.83 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked REKONIX | 16c | 3,840$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.82 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 3,600$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 3,350$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.02 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 20c | 2,894$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.43 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 2,613$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed REKONIX | 17c | 2,532$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.24 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 30c | 2,382$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.13 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX | 32c | 2,343$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.72 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 2,172$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.78 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 32c | 1,979$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.77 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked REKONIX | 18c | 1,907$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.81 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,840$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked REKONIX | 29c | 1,770$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,575$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 1,476$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,403$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.95 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed REKONIX | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,388$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.96 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed REKONIX | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,302$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 1,285$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,279$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.72 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,220$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,176$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed REKONIX | 27c | 1,143$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.48 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed REKONIX | 22c | 1,138$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,072$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,051$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.85 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,015$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,014$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed REKONIX | 6c | 1,009$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked REKONIX | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed REKONIX | 25c | 995.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 987.94$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 987$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 22c | 911.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked REKONIX | 32c | 909$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked REKONIX | 26c | 884.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX | 26c | 861.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked REKONIX | 32c | 849.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed REKONIX | 33c | 845$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 15c | 828.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked REKONIX | 29c | 802.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed REKONIX | 21c | 750$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked REKONIX | 32c | 736.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked REKONIX | 28c | 725$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 718.13$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 714.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed REKONIX | 31c | 712.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 708.29$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked REKONIX | 30c | 707.87$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 12c | 701.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked REKONIX | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked REKONIX | 33c | 700$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked REKONIX | 24c | 699.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked REKONIX | 30c | 698.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed REKONIX | 30c | 690$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked REKONIX | 34c | 688.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed REKONIX | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked REKONIX | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked REKONIX | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 599.5$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed REKONIX | 21c | 595$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 28c | 586.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed REKONIX | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed REKONIX | 4c | 551.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 24c | 550.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 540.51$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 33c | 506.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked REKONIX | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.