Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b95d03a3d30fab2883b86780b23e05072464501a76acfe54a8d78d33ee3093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof L1ga Team, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 28,071$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,071.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed L1ga Team | 8c | 20,000$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.75 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 17,600$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 13,426$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.23 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 10,686$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.84 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 10,000$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.66 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed L1ga Team | 27c | 9,995$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.83 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 8,394$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 8,208$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 7,434$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 5,741$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team | 27c | 5,518$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.5 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 4,572$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 4,526$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed L1ga Team | 26c | 4,380$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 27c | 3,998$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.35 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 3,204$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team | 27c | 2,724$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.86 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,526$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 2,093$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.66 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,007$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.24 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,000$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed L1ga Team | 26c | 1,904$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.05 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed L1ga Team | 28c | 1,860$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,594$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed L1ga Team | 27c | 1,454$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 1,316$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,299$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.21 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 27c | 1,248$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,228$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,155$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 1,090$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,028$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 30c | 1,013$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.87 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed L1ga Team | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed L1ga Team | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed L1ga Team | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed L1ga Team | 30c | 968$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 963.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 943.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 940.19$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 888$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 25c | 881.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed L1ga Team | 3c | 826.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed L1ga Team | 28c | 819.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…f6c5backed L1ga Team | 6c | 801.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed L1ga Team | 27c | 750.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed L1ga Team | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 28c | 749.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 742.82$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 719.68$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 692.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 683.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 661.7$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed L1ga Team | 28c | 636$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed L1ga Team | 25c | 617.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed L1ga Team | 25c | 597$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked L1ga Team | 18c | 569.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed L1ga Team | 31c | 547.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 4c | 536.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 517.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed L1ga Team | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…618bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 492$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed L1ga Team | 29c | 460$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked L1ga Team | 29c | 451.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 444.7$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 406.87$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed L1ga Team | 25c | 405.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 386.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 380.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed L1ga Team | 29c | 361.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed L1ga Team | 28c | 355$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…18c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 347.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 333$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed L1ga Team | 28c | 301$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed L1ga Team | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed L1ga Team | 22c | 293.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 291.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 264.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.