CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4593eb9d82e915529d205d8324d66268ad4ae879e952482f4f9c9f61c5496b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Isurus, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yawara Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 1,635$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.12 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 65c | 1,443$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 1,198$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 889.47$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 599$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Isurus | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Isurus | 50c | 411.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Isurus | 67c | 396.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 45c | 343.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Yawara Esports | 65c | 307.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 283.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Isurus | 76c | 279.76$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Isurus | 46c | 271.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 256.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Isurus | 29c | 254$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed Isurus | 55c | 232.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 39c | 225.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Isurus | 39c | 215$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 190.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 154.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 153.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Isurus | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Isurus | 52c | 77.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…4fcfbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 64.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Yawara Esports | 56c | 59.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…15fcbacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 55.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 50.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…69c4backed Isurus | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yawara Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Isurus | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 423 | 46.3%196 W · 227 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 50c | 37.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Isurus | 52c | 37.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 34.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 32.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Yawara Esports | 74c | 31.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Isurus | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Isurus | 54c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Isurus | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yawara Esports | 64c | 21.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 15.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 15.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.