CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312eca13dd52af92da6de3b9e9678d0f1e9af9cf1fe9755a27c888195a3e6f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Yawara Esports, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Isurus | 63c | 359.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 50c | 270.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 60c | 260$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Isurus | 53c | 222.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Yawara Esports | 19c | 175.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 145$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 110.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 110.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 34.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Isurus | 79c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Isurus | 79c | 13.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.