Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e546e4254bc9c97e0a5166a3abeb7ffc8446456aa59253d85ce1790254de62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof Team AION, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PuckChamp | 57c | 14,889$8,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.27 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION | 45c | 14,392$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.06 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team AION | 34c | 8,564$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 59c | 4,605$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.02 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 62c | 3,629$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.26 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed PuckChamp | 49c | 3,276$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.79 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team AION | 61c | 1,949$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.26 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PuckChamp | 55c | 1,879$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.75 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 1,757$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.56 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked PuckChamp | 70c | 1,682$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team AION | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed PuckChamp | 40c | 1,444$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.21 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 1,401$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.87 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PuckChamp | 71c | 1,364$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PuckChamp | 66c | 1,274$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.38 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 54c | 1,117$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed PuckChamp | 73c | 1,109$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team AION | 17c | 1,100$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team AION | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team AION | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team AION | 50c | 908.43$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.57 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…aa52backed PuckChamp | 41c | 868.24$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team AION | 48c | 800$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 42c | 707.04$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.53 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PuckChamp | 49c | 668.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed PuckChamp | 60c | 657.27$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.28 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 47c | 644.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Team AION | 41c | 638.27$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…3f25backed PuckChamp | 38c | 632.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 67c | 614.51$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team AION | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 54c | 577.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed PuckChamp | 62c | 550.44$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team AION | 48c | 534.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 55c | 523.28$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team AION | 47c | 510.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team AION | 56c | 510.48$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed PuckChamp | 61c | 499.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team AION | 64c | 499.21$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team AION | 40c | 497.44$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team AION | 42c | 471.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked PuckChamp | 49c | 413.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Team AION | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed PuckChamp | 79c | 381.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PuckChamp | 44c | 366.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team AION | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed PuckChamp | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team AION | 48c | 314.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PuckChamp | 60c | 312.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 309$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed PuckChamp | 67c | 301.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PuckChamp | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed PuckChamp | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed PuckChamp | 72c | 263.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team AION | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team AION | 58c | 259.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 72c | 251.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team AION | 50c | 249$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 74c | 247.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team AION | 30c | 213.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp | 67c | 204.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Team AION | 62c | 203.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 50c | 202.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Team AION | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team AION | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PuckChamp | 61c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team AION | 40c | 174$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team AION | 58c | 173.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team AION | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed PuckChamp | 46c | 159.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed PuckChamp | 74c | 135.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 132.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Team AION | 56c | 132.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 131.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PuckChamp | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…9019backed PuckChamp | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked PuckChamp | 73c | 125.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed PuckChamp | 60c | 125.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team AION | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Team AION | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed PuckChamp | 41c | 116.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked PuckChamp | 39c | 116.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked PuckChamp | 44c | 115.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PuckChamp | 55c | 115.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team AION | 55c | 114.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team AION | 33c | 113.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked PuckChamp | 41c | 112.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed PuckChamp | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed PuckChamp | 77c | 107.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked PuckChamp | 61c | 107.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Team AION | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Team AION | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked PuckChamp | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Team AION | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed PuckChamp | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed PuckChamp | 45c | 97.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PuckChamp | 53c | 94.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerTeam AION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.