TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team AIONof Team AION, PuckChamp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked PuckChamp32c10,152$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.4732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp31c6,843$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.1347146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team AION69c6,681$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.511,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed PuckChamp36c6,544$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.4114825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION57c5,005$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.2989341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp33c2,140$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3194442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team AION68c1,889$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.5371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team AION61c1,643$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6391,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team AION67c1,578$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0417965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed PuckChamp43c1,469$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7610961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team AION74c1,410$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6447046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…aa52backed PuckChamp36c1,077$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team AION66c1,004$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8579159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed PuckChamp8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7851544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4260…7c04backed PuckChamp30c999.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team AION67c956.96$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7345750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team AION63c917.29$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.916055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Team AION61c879.68$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6815050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp35c849.69$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.391,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed PuckChamp59c838$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3732241.6%134 W · 188 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team AION62c827.72$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5310351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14b…4ff2backed Team AION55c740$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed Team AION66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2389455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp40c563.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.671,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team AION69c560.43$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0327345.8%125 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team AION62c521.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team AION62c499.51$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.811,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp31c487.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6687838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team AION64c473.75$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4533951.3%174 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team AION68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14433165.3%216 W · 115 L+23.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked PuckChamp39c444.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17319547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Team AION63c424.2$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.185230.8%16 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team AION61c400.23$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0948053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team AION67c367.03$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Team AION61c327.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.691758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed PuckChamp15c301$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2963447.6%302 W · 332 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed PuckChamp35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp40c277.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7947457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Team AION61c264.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.068153.1%43 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team AION66c260$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.847348.2%228 W · 245 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Team AION62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9558156.6%329 W · 252 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team AION67c238.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8140242.3%170 W · 232 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team AION62c229.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0714757.1%84 W · 63 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp36c210.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.351,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1231052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9832756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team AION65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team AION68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed PuckChamp34c186.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2419249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team AION70c173.74$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Team AION66c156.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0117229.7%51 W · 121 L-17.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team AION62c151.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6425948.3%125 W · 134 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5158742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked PuckChamp42c131.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7810941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team AION62c110.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.251,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.558346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed PuckChamp27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2729550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team AION62c91.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7338159.1%225 W · 156 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team AION62c86.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp34c79.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp36c77.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3143649.1%214 W · 222 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team AION64c76.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6715551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Team AION68c73.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6813764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Team AION67c73.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3721769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Team AION67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.147058.5%275 W · 195 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team AION67c61.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3490756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp35c60.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9430146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Team AION69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.618356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…b3debacked PuckChamp18c58.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.493417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked PuckChamp34c53.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked PuckChamp34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Team AION62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1934041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001b…698bbacked PuckChamp34c48.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team AION56c48.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2126247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Team AION66c44.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1531644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Team AION62c42.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1814652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team AION76c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.038048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed PuckChamp33c40.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3621044.3%93 W · 117 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team AION66c34.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.638961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Team AION66c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712361.8%76 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Team AION64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6928951.9%150 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Team AION66c29.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41b…87c5backed PuckChamp46c27.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Team AION58c27.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.498754%47 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Team AION62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.515342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Team AION66c24.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2137441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed PuckChamp49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118253.3%97 W · 85 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team AION67c21.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9790753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Team AION62c20.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.694546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Team AION61c20.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.835948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Team AION62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.617443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team AION67c17.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8741739.6%165 W · 252 L-38.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Team AION75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked Team AION69c15.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8917660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Team AION67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9610741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d5…4bd3backed Team AION70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52596%24 W · 1 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick73cpaid+30.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.