Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa959c6955cc1f17e684f912564c8262403b11bd1657fb3a9a3c4cab09058d3f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Team AION, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PuckChamp | 32c | 10,152$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.47 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp | 31c | 6,843$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.13 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team AION | 69c | 6,681$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.51 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed PuckChamp | 36c | 6,544$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.41 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION | 57c | 5,005$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.29 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 2,140$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.31 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team AION | 68c | 1,889$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.53 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 61c | 1,643$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team AION | 67c | 1,578$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed PuckChamp | 43c | 1,469$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.76 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team AION | 74c | 1,410$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…aa52backed PuckChamp | 36c | 1,077$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team AION | 66c | 1,004$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PuckChamp | 8c | 1,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…7c04backed PuckChamp | 30c | 999.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team AION | 67c | 956.96$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.73 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team AION | 63c | 917.29$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team AION | 61c | 879.68$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 35c | 849.69$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PuckChamp | 59c | 838$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.37 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Team AION | 62c | 827.72$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Team AION | 55c | 740$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team AION | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 563.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team AION | 69c | 560.43$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team AION | 62c | 521.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team AION | 62c | 499.51$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 31c | 487.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team AION | 64c | 473.75$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team AION | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 444.73$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team AION | 63c | 424.2$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team AION | 61c | 400.23$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team AION | 67c | 367.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Team AION | 61c | 327.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PuckChamp | 15c | 301$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed PuckChamp | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 40c | 277.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Team AION | 61c | 264.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team AION | 66c | 260$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team AION | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team AION | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team AION | 62c | 229.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 210.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team AION | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team AION | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed PuckChamp | 34c | 186.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team AION | 70c | 173.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team AION | 66c | 156.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -17.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team AION | 62c | 151.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 131.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team AION | 62c | 110.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed PuckChamp | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team AION | 62c | 91.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team AION | 62c | 86.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 79.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 77.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team AION | 64c | 76.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team AION | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team AION | 67c | 73.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team AION | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team AION | 67c | 61.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp | 35c | 60.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team AION | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked PuckChamp | 18c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 53.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team AION | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 48.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team AION | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team AION | 66c | 44.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Team AION | 62c | 42.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team AION | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed PuckChamp | 33c | 40.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team AION | 66c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Team AION | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team AION | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Team AION | 66c | 29.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…87c5backed PuckChamp | 46c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Team AION | 58c | 27.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team AION | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team AION | 66c | 24.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed PuckChamp | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team AION | 67c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Team AION | 62c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Team AION | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team AION | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team AION | 67c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team AION | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team AION | 69c | 15.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Team AION | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…4bd3backed Team AION | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 25 | 96%24 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.