TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x001b…698b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$13.7
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46%+$22.76
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.4%+$144.75
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$50.94
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$67.66
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$37.17
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$100.8
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.84
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$283.89
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$14.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$25.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$15.61
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$20.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+615.8%+$149.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+73%+$16.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Dota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$9.83
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$15.3
Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$22.25
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$23.87
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$17.11
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$34.44
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.