Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29184ced36bfd1257de5bfa96cc49c807333a8ec6de6ebae444bbab8ac999eeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invisionof BALU, Invision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked BALU | 48c | 11,736$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.65 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed BALU | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Invision | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Invision | 42c | 5,581$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.23 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Invision | 73c | 4,776$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked BALU | 60c | 4,020$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.83 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked BALU | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked BALU | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BALU | 56c | 2,435$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.63 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked BALU | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Invision | 24c | 2,088$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.74 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked BALU | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Invision | 46c | 1,971$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Invision | 51c | 1,755$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Invision | 46c | 1,554$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Invision | 78c | 1,507$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.14 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed BALU | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BALU | 23c | 1,489$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.64 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Invision | 51c | 1,391$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.15 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Invision | 45c | 1,341$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.18 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed BALU | 48c | 1,324$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.27 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Invision | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.87 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed BALU | 58c | 1,127$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed BALU | 58c | 1,025$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked BALU | 58c | 1,025$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed BALU | 41c | 900$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked BALU | 58c | 893.93$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.48 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BALU | 5c | 874.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Invision | 55c | 834.3$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Invision | 46c | 654.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Invision | 43c | 624.68$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Invision | 27c | 551.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.72 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed BALU | 47c | 519.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed BALU | 58c | 511.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BALU | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed BALU | 42c | 495.94$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Invision | 61c | 478.48$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked BALU | 55c | 472.27$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BALU | 42c | 463.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Invision | 38c | 435.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.31 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked BALU | 53c | 410.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Invision | 76c | 409.43$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed BALU | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed BALU | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Invision | 63c | 398.91$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Invision | 68c | 382.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BALU | 19c | 336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed BALU | 58c | 301.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Invision | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BALU | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Invision | 61c | 298.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Invision | 43c | 291$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BALU | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BALU | 65c | 245.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Invision | 27c | 243.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Invision | 26c | 231.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed BALU | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed BALU | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BALU | 67c | 196.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Invision | 28c | 196.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Invision | 31c | 194.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Invision | 26c | 193.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed BALU | 59c | 182.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BALU | 45c | 165.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BALU | 53c | 155.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Invision | 70c | 155.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Invision | 28c | 151.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Invision | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Invision | 52c | 143.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BALU | 65c | 142.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed BALU | 59c | 136.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BALU | 67c | 136$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BALU | 52c | 128.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed BALU | 57c | 127.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BALU | 67c | 123$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Invision | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BALU | 64c | 115.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BALU | 32c | 115.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Invision | 47c | 109.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked BALU | 60c | 108.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Invision | 44c | 107.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Invision | 77c | 103.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed BALU | 45c | 98.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Invision | 56c | 95.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Invision | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BALU | 26c | 90.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked BALU | 24c | 90.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Invision | 39c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Invision | 40c | 88.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed BALU | 58c | 86.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Invision | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed BALU | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Invision | 41c | 79.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BALU | 74c | 78.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Invision | 27c | 72.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed Invision | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked BALU | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed BALU | 72c | 68.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed BALU | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Invision | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group BInvision won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 WinnerBALU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.