Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb297f4154135089fcea128f4d479c1a20ae0377f57e88cf486f8f6e25a51db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invisionof BALU, Invision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed BALU | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked BALU | 33c | 3,681$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.14 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Invision | 40c | 3,353$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.42 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked BALU | 21c | 3,331$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BALU | 55c | 2,404$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.9 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Invision | 48c | 2,243$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed BALU | 59c | 1,963$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.32 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Invision | 29c | 1,600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.98 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Invision | 21c | 1,491$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.1 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Invision | 66c | 1,400$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Invision | 71c | 1,364$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked BALU | 38c | 1,285$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Invision | 40c | 1,237$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed BALU | 33c | 1,191$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Invision | 46c | 1,139$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.09 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Invision | 48c | 1,062$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked BALU | 68c | 1,003$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.21 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed BALU | 43c | 918.37$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.28 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Invision | 39c | 875.7$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BALU | 68c | 847.72$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed BALU | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Invision | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed BALU | 61c | 781.97$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Invision | 42c | 754.04$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.77 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Invision | 40c | 746.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.05 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Invision | 41c | 710.29$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BALU | 48c | 692.84$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.23 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BALU | 35c | 635.85$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BALU | 62c | 630.01$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Invision | 77c | 592.12$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BALU | 50c | 539.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked BALU | 77c | 535.57$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.67 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Invision | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed BALU | 43c | 447.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BALU | 48c | 441.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Invision | 52c | 437.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…e373backed Invision | 61c | 404.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked BALU | 48c | 397.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed BALU | 35c | 388.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Invision | 40c | 378.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked BALU | 57c | 350.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BALU | 46c | 333.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Invision | 51c | 325.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Invision | 58c | 319$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Invision | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed BALU | 67c | 295.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Invision | 31c | 257.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Invision | 42c | 254.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Invision | 22c | 243.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Invision | 49c | 233.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Invision | 65c | 226.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Invision | 52c | 224.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Invision | 55c | 222.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Invision | 59c | 215.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…b452backed BALU | 23c | 211.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed BALU | 53c | 209.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Invision | 45c | 204.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed BALU | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Invision | 71c | 199.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked BALU | 66c | 197.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Invision | 64c | 196.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BALU | 9c | 192.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BALU | 61c | 191.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BALU | 18c | 188.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Invision | 52c | 186.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BALU | 44c | 183.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BALU | 45c | 176.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Invision | 54c | 176.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed BALU | 62c | 172.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BALU | 63c | 169.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked BALU | 62c | 162.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Invision | 32c | 157.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Invision | 39c | 153.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked BALU | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…4bd3backed Invision | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 25 | 96%24 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Invision | 48c | 145.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed BALU | 35c | 141.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BALU | 58c | 137.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed BALU | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Invision | 58c | 125.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Invision | 54c | 125.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Invision | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Invision | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Invision | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed BALU | 36c | 122.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Invision | 76c | 117.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Invision | 65c | 111.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed BALU | 21c | 109.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BALU | 37c | 106.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…bb98backed BALU | 17c | 105.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Invision | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked BALU | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Invision | 50c | 96.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked BALU | 44c | 95.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked BALU | 75c | 95.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BALU | 59c | 94.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BALU | 57c | 92.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed BALU | 33c | 89.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Invision | 58c | 89.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Invision | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 WinnerInvision won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 WinnerBALU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.