Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551244bf281a0cd16db1a5ad749cc971ce09b9726b64ec3240ee0efe8ecfdd2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiveof Hive, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Hive | 54c | 9,351$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.33 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Hive | 65c | 7,498$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.23 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Hive | 58c | 3,569$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.44 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed PuckChamp | 47c | 2,767$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.04 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 38c | 2,619$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.56 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PuckChamp | 40c | 2,499$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.16 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 2,488$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.71 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 32c | 1,492$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Hive | 75c | 1,481$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.4 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 1,349$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Hive | 59c | 1,244$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 44c | 1,189$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed PuckChamp | 37c | 970.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.13 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Hive | 59c | 952.94$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 941.12$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.86 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PuckChamp | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 832.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Hive | 68c | 750.29$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PuckChamp | 44c | 706.51$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.62 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PuckChamp | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 46c | 560.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 547.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Hive | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 64c | 511.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 506.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PuckChamp | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hive | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 60c | 494.13$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 470.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed PuckChamp | 41c | 428.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Hive | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 389.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Hive | 58c | 378$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed PuckChamp | 10c | 371.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed PuckChamp | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 314.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed PuckChamp | 10c | 311.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 310.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 37c | 302.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Hive | 66c | 290.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 288.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 287.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PuckChamp | 5c | 263.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Hive | 64c | 249.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked PuckChamp | 45c | 248.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 44c | 239.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 226$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PuckChamp | 45c | 221.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Hive | 58c | 209.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PuckChamp | 36c | 207.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed PuckChamp | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Hive | 52c | 190.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 44c | 167$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 148.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed PuckChamp | 45c | 146.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked PuckChamp | 35c | 141$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Hive | 62c | 139$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Hive | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed PuckChamp | 32c | 123.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Hive | 67c | 121.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…8677backed PuckChamp | 42c | 119.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 113.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp | 39c | 110.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed PuckChamp | 40c | 102.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Hive | 62c | 98.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 97.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed PuckChamp | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 39c | 94.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Hive | 59c | 89.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed PuckChamp | 36c | 85.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hive | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed PuckChamp | 49c | 78.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 75.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed PuckChamp | 44c | 70.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed PuckChamp | 41c | 70.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked PuckChamp | 48c | 61.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Hive | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Hive | 63c | 53.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PuckChamp | 43c | 50.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 43.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked Hive | 60c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed PuckChamp | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 36.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed PuckChamp | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked PuckChamp | 38c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked PuckChamp | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed PuckChamp | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hive | 61c | 30.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Hive | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Hive | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Hive | 52c | 24.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…0fd5backed Hive | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group AHive won
- Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerHive won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.