MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8526b35a02aaad53aa897523a736f8921c97a96fa90e541f8098db7cca2ea3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $615,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $670,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,155 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3b21…a230backed Washington Nationals	62c	90,000$55,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,200	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Tampa Bay Rays	9c	75,000$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	66,798$24,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,987.58	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	75c	42,143$31,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,658.57	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Washington Nationals	47c	23,771$11,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,598.66	358	54.5%195 W · 163 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	14,674$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Tampa Bay Rays	23c	14,638$3,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,366.77	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Tampa Bay Rays	16c	14,536$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,326.52	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	+221.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	44c	8,807$3,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,903.59	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	7,170$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	6,926$2,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,362.33	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	6,415$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed Tampa Bay Rays	18c	5,332$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dde…6b53backed Washington Nationals	59c	3,963$2,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	3,771$2,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.07	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	3,309$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.4	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Tampa Bay Rays	74c	3,298$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440.58	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals	46c	2,995$1,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,617.24	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Tampa Bay Rays	37c	2,929$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.59	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	47c	2,759$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.2	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	2,718$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.59	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays	10c	2,101$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Tampa Bay Rays	30c	2,097$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	1,751$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.13	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	1,711$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.1	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals	60c	1,598$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.3	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Washington Nationals	62c	1,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	58c	1,487$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.95	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	1,428$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.49	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Washington Nationals	47c	1,385$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.88	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	1,379$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.88	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Tampa Bay Rays	18c	1,228$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.18	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Tampa Bay Rays	32c	1,224$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.79	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays	42c	1,167$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.27	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	51c	1,161$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.32	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	1,122$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.3	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	1,100$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals	58c	1,082$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.44	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals	69c	1,021$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.65	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Nationals	45c	993.04$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.86	147	24.5%36 W · 111 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Washington Nationals	68c	950$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304	228	67.1%153 W · 75 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…760fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	8c	913.5$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	882.65$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	763.15$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.09	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Washington Nationals	41c	715$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.39	120	37.5%45 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Washington Nationals	54c	709.32$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.29	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals	70c	707$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.66	946	55.3%523 W · 423 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	201	38.8%78 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Washington Nationals	67c	700$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals	59c	685$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.85	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	680.68$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.8	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	12c	676.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays	42c	670$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.4	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked Washington Nationals	78c	657.46$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.64	38	81.6%31 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	76cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	641.03$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Washington Nationals	46c	636$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.76	378	68.8%260 W · 118 L	+25.1wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	43c	635.34$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.28	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	32c	606.01$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.29	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals	48c	600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	600$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	613	52.5%322 W · 291 L	+29.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Washington Nationals	18c	600$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Washington Nationals	18c	600$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Washington Nationals	70c	580.99$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Washington Nationals	48c	568.87$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.81	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edc…ea1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	36c	559.05$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	538.61$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals	77c	531.74$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.63	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Tampa Bay Rays	37c	530.86$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.42	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Washington Nationals	63c	476.26$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.26	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	19c	471.54$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals	53c	452.35$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.49	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c59…37f1backed Tampa Bay Rays	10c	450.9$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77af…7b28backed Tampa Bay Rays	10c	450$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	30cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays	47c	447.02$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.09	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Washington Nationals	44c	437$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.21	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	428.81$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.85	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Washington Nationals	72c	424$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.39	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals	48c	416.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.84	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	380.76$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.31	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Washington Nationals	49c	378.82$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.29	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Washington Nationals	63c	373.02$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.02	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Tampa Bay Rays	38c	371.97$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.35	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	47c	370.1$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.15	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f2…ed3fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	10c	362.22$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Tampa Bay Rays	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	47c	344.98$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.84	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	76c	338.35$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.06	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays	35c	320.33$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.67	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked Washington Nationals	18c	315$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.3	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+4.2wins	+0.32per pick	14cpaid	+243%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	312.18$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.39	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals	67c	304.4$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.49	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.13	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Tampa Bay Rays	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Washington Nationals	18c	300$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tampa Bay Rays	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals	47c	299.98$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.99	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals	52c	286.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.46	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba31…836dbacked Washington Nationals	66c	284.42$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	19c	267.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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