Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22bcf74b19536588083c443dffbe24ac4562d937bb2148c49c28766e3aff988b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Habibis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Habibis | 0c | 86,411$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Habibis | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax | 39c | 4,342$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 3,438$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 1,275$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.83 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax | 50c | 1,150$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.9 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Team Syntax | 77c | 1,022$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Syntax | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Syntax | 72c | 930.49$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.83 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax | 62c | 907.05$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Habibis | 31c | 900$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Habibis | 58c | 779.33$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.52 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Habibis | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Habibis | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Habibis | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Habibis | 60c | 589.91$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 53c | 579.44$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.73 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 572.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Habibis | 61c | 442.04$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Syntax | 51c | 439.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Habibis | 51c | 419.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Syntax | 49c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Habibis | 55c | 373.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Habibis | 42c | 372.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Habibis | 60c | 369.63$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis | 47c | 357.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Habibis | 47c | 322.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis | 42c | 318.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Habibis | 47c | 305.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Syntax | 46c | 295.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…b677backed Habibis | 50c | 295.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Habibis | 59c | 290.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 46c | 282.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habibis | 57c | 255.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Habibis | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Habibis | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Habibis | 60c | 233.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Habibis | 43c | 225.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Habibis | 56c | 224.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Habibis | 61c | 217.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Habibis | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Habibis | 41c | 213.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Habibis | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Habibis | 27c | 163.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Habibis | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Habibis | 55c | 146.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Team Syntax | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Habibis | 48c | 133.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Habibis | 31c | 132.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Habibis | 60c | 129.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis | 47c | 126.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Habibis | 59c | 123.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Habibis | 48c | 121.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Habibis | 48c | 119.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Habibis | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Habibis | 49c | 112.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Habibis | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Habibis | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Habibis | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Team Syntax | 34c | 106.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habibis | 50c | 106.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 45c | 105.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax | 59c | 97.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Team Syntax | 49c | 96.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Team Syntax | 35c | 94.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Habibis | 45c | 80.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Habibis | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Habibis | 59c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 77.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Habibis | 57c | 76.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Habibis | 55c | 76.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Habibis | 26c | 75.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Habibis | 40c | 75.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Habibis | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Habibis | 61c | 69.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Habibis | 59c | 64.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Habibis | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Habibis | 38c | 56.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Habibis | 47c | 56.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Habibis | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team Syntax | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Habibis | 49c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Habibis | 38c | 45.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Habibis | 61c | 44.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Habibis | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Habibis | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked Habibis | 56c | 39.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Team Syntax | 56c | 38.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Habibis | 44c | 34.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Team Syntax | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Habibis | 42c | 32.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Habibis | 42c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Syntax | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Habibis | 43c | 29.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Habibis | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Habibis | 50c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.