TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Habibis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a8e…9408backed Habibis0c86,411$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Habibis0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10712.8%2 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax39c4,342$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.1289741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax48c3,438$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.131,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Syntax51c1,977$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.2448053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax51c1,275$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.831,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax50c1,150$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.947650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked Team Syntax77c1,022$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.987045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Syntax39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.998538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Syntax72c930.49$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8354246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax62c907.05$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6831865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Habibis31c900$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Habibis58c779.33$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Habibis38c736.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Habibis55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Habibis50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33338855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Habibis60c589.91$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.856442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis53c579.44$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.732,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Syntax48c572.46$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.317965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Habibis61c442.04$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.83528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Syntax51c439.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.615050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Habibis51c419.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7932756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Syntax49c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3758356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Habibis55c373.93$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.668447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Habibis42c372.76$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5670236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Habibis60c369.63$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis47c357.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.551,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Habibis47c322.8$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.553441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis42c318.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4889238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Habibis47c305.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.092846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Syntax46c295.95$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4948057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47de…b677backed Habibis50c295.36$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.68837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Habibis59c290.17$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7419251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax46c282.59$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Habibis57c255.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.031,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Habibis54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a9…fc3fbacked Habibis38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Habibis60c233.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Habibis43c225.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Habibis56c224.34$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Habibis61c217.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.47733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Habibis56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Habibis41c213.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8858152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Habibis50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Habibis27c163.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4327636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Habibis60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.882653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Habibis55c146.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013148.1%63 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7d…a286backed Team Syntax38c134.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.212433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Habibis48c133.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9134041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Habibis31c132.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9619440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Habibis60c129.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1844049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis47c126.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.381,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Habibis59c123.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1130146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Habibis48c121.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0232549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Habibis48c119.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Habibis43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Habibis49c112.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9815342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Habibis57c111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2737549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Habibis51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.88040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Habibis47c109$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2917443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Team Syntax34c106.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2410244.1%45 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Habibis50c106.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.591,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax45c105.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7481345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax59c97.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1238759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Team Syntax49c96.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2735948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Team Syntax35c94.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.749645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Habibis45c80.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1825851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Habibis37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.553538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Habibis59c79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5719249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax42c77.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8315551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Habibis57c76.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0213647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Habibis55c76.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Habibis26c75.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4438142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Habibis40c75.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Habibis59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2556945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Habibis61c69.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0811535.7%41 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Habibis59c64.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Habibis21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Habibis38c56.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.319449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Habibis47c56.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.474546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Habibis45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.47538.7%29 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Syntax46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.355940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Habibis49c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.64548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Habibis38c45.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.466136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Habibis61c44.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Habibis65c43.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815461.7%95 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Habibis26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001b…698bbacked Habibis56c39.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax52c38.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5291553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Team Syntax56c38.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.935244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75eb…ce0bbacked Habibis44c34.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Team Syntax46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Habibis42c32.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.463286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Habibis42c31.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.119031.1%28 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Team Syntax39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.329550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Habibis43c29.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7628252.1%147 W · 135 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Habibis59c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Habibis50c21.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.858645.3%39 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.