Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da2b92aadd32b6147343f3cdcd06c14205251cc1bb1724420592ed292b9f209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Habibis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax | 58c | 1,986$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.61 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Habibis | 39c | 1,603$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.7 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Habibis | 23c | 699.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax | 69c | 660.92$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Team Syntax | 70c | 560.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Habibis | 20c | 380.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Habibis | 43c | 328$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Habibis | 23c | 326.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Syntax | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax | 61c | 285.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Syntax | 63c | 250$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Habibis | 41c | 247$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Habibis | 48c | 231.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 55c | 216.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Team Syntax | 54c | 214.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Habibis | 48c | 210.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Syntax | 76c | 194$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Syntax | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 43c | 175.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Syntax | 73c | 168$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Syntax | 80c | 158.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Habibis | 40c | 148.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Habibis | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Syntax | 57c | 140.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Habibis | 46c | 126.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Team Syntax | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed Habibis | 37c | 108.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Habibis | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Team Syntax | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Syntax | 77c | 99.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Syntax | 78c | 89.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Habibis | 16c | 87.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Habibis | 38c | 86.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 63c | 85.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Habibis | 55c | 84.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis | 24c | 84.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Habibis | 19c | 83.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Team Syntax | 72c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Habibis | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Syntax | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Habibis | 37c | 71.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Habibis | 59c | 70.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…88e5backed Team Syntax | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habibis | 34c | 55.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Team Syntax | 47c | 54.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Habibis | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Team Syntax | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Habibis | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Team Syntax | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Habibis | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Team Syntax | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfb…b34cbacked Habibis | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked Team Syntax | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Syntax | 47c | 32.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Habibis | 40c | 32.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Habibis | 46c | 32.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Syntax | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 182 | 62.6%114 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Syntax | 65c | 30.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Habibis | 43c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Habibis | 37c | 28.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 58c | 26.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Syntax | 61c | 22.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.