TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Habibis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax43c11,828$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.6747146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax52c6,501$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.6189341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Habibis59c5,868$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.37634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Habibis1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40712.8%2 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Syntax46c2,710$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.1332549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax65c2,626$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3447450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Habibis52c2,403$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.6914825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Habibis43c2,374$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0211,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax43c2,284$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.3810961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Habibis2c2,103$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.03100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis45c1,923$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.912,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Habibis51c1,693$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.4247457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Team Syntax50c1,600$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Habibis2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax52c1,472$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.991,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Habibis50c1,383$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.9945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Syntax49c1,005$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7515050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48069235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Syntax71c991.25$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0217965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Habibis21c928.52$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19115050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Habibis53c883$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6658742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Team Syntax60c834.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Habibis59c788$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6227950.2%140 W · 139 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis37c773.17$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6287838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Habibis54c737$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3343649.1%214 W · 222 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Habibis54c722.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7356545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Habibis39c720.76$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0332756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Habibis49c669.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.011,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Habibis57c641.63$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4158346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Syntax53c620.41$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.126247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Syntax50c604.62$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7654246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Habibis2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Habibis49c600$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9231052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Habibis2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Habibis30c591.59$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4437241.9%156 W · 216 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Habibis30c548.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Habibis64c544.83$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0112547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax66c493.18$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.671,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Habibis56c487.04$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0213647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Habibis42c482.41$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6166648.6%324 W · 342 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Habibis43c475$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3470236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Syntax45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4447953.9%258 W · 221 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Habibis45c428.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.884742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Syntax41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2368538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis49c368.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.771,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Habibis48c334.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.533441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Habibis25c322.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1419241.1%79 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Syntax61c268.1$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1832548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Habibis57c254$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8719249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Habibis49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Habibis48c249.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.535038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Habibis45c244.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040242.3%170 W · 232 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Habibis43c241$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1867546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Team Syntax59c239$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6825956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Habibis34c233.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0354445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Syntax50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004040%16 W · 24 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Habibis44c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Habibis29c195.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4988938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax45c193.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4927636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Habibis45c183$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7330146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Habibis51c181.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1534041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Habibis38c178.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4552638.4%202 W · 324 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Habibis52c173.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.882846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Habibis16c170.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1250247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax61c160$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis45c158.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.871,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked Team Syntax65c154.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.341553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4831865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Habibis59c143$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.652653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Habibis46c142.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2121558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Habibis18c141.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.773243.1%10 W · 314 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Habibis45c139.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.418040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Syntax59c138.81$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9158152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Habibis39c128.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.81,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Habibis49c128.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3415342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Habibis59c123.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Habibis50c123$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8917443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Habibis60c121.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6579159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Habibis30c109.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Syntax56c108$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.551,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Habibis43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1510244.1%45 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Habibis11c97.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.724250%21 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dba…6929backed Team Syntax55c91.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.116341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d5…4bd3backed Team Syntax80c91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62596%24 W · 1 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick73cpaid+30.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax33c87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4666545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax67c79.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Syntax48c69.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.278516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Habibis59c67.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015940.9%65 W · 94 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Habibis53c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.244548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Habibis43c65.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429658.3%56 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Habibis39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254025%10 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Habibis53c55.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8721540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Team Syntax40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.929550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Habibis46c47.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Habibis45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.77538.7%29 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x001b…698bbacked Team Syntax50c44.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Team Syntax62c38.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.512665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Habibis39c36.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313266.4%21 W · 305 L-101.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.4%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Team Syntax44c34.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.199031.1%28 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax57c32.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9280244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.