Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4456f9034f7120d3bb2b3ed4350490b3ebf36d8fd6a072cb3b53f6b740e95fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invisionof Habibis, Invision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Invision | 53c | 9,543$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.19 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Habibis | 47c | 5,940$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.57 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Invision | 57c | 3,859$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.54 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Habibis | 50c | 3,102$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.12 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Invision | 55c | 2,269$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.27 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Invision | 53c | 2,060$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.98 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Habibis | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Habibis | 52c | 1,500$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.64 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Invision | 51c | 1,469$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.15 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Invision | 66c | 1,211$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.4 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Habibis | 2c | 968.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Habibis | 49c | 951.47$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.94 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Habibis | 54c | 922.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Habibis | 49c | 827.21$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Habibis | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Habibis | 45c | 667.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Invision | 43c | 647.46$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Habibis | 41c | 574.88$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Habibis | 47c | 526.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Invision | 50c | 520$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.89 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed Habibis | 50c | 514.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Invision | 45c | 509.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.38 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Habibis | 48c | 501.02$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Habibis | 45c | 449.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Invision | 56c | 446.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Habibis | 5c | 421.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Invision | 54c | 400$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Habibis | 46c | 390$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis | 46c | 389.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Habibis | 58c | 368.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Invision | 50c | 350$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Invision | 57c | 349.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Habibis | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Habibis | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Invision | 56c | 299.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Habibis | 46c | 292.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 43c | 287.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Habibis | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Habibis | 39c | 251.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Habibis | 45c | 247.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Habibis | 52c | 241$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Habibis | 49c | 239$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Invision | 57c | 218.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Habibis | 46c | 213.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Invision | 50c | 165.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Habibis | 33c | 162$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Habibis | 47c | 151.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Habibis | 59c | 145$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Invision | 46c | 143.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…8677backed Habibis | 50c | 139.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Habibis | 59c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Habibis | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Habibis | 46c | 115.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Habibis | 43c | 113.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Habibis | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Habibis | 47c | 107.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Habibis | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Habibis | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Habibis | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Habibis | 42c | 101.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Invision | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Invision | 42c | 98.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Habibis | 51c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Habibis | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Invision | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Habibis | 51c | 77.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Habibis | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Habibis | 47c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Habibis | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Habibis | 58c | 56.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Habibis | 40c | 52.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Invision | 47c | 48.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Invision | 49c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Invision | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Habibis | 44c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Invision | 49c | 41.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Invision | 44c | 40.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Invision | 42c | 38.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Habibis | 52c | 38.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Habibis | 43c | 34.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Habibis | 59c | 33.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Habibis | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Habibis | 68c | 25.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked Invision | 61c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Habibis | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Invision | 47c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Habibis | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Habibis | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Habibis | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Habibis vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group BInvision won
- Dota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 2 WinnerInvision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.