Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ca70da4ce2530ec3c8ef69c16507d48ba315d82d856b0d83875333d9d04479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Team AION, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 41c | 10,499$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.56 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team AION | 44c | 8,329$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.66 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team AION | 56c | 4,400$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.76 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team AION | 62c | 3,970$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.29 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team AION | 57c | 3,032$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.29 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 2,948$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team AION | 42c | 2,877$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.45 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 1,751$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team AION | 57c | 1,194$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.66 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 1,171$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team AION | 59c | 1,130$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.63 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 1,109$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.53 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 838.44$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team AION | 57c | 817.92$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.07 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Team AION | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 747.83$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team AION | 50c | 705.81$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 685.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.39 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team AION | 60c | 559.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.86 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team AION | 62c | 547.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.65 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 533.97$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 506$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 462.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 450$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 449.7$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team AION | 60c | 447.65$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team AION | 33c | 439.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Spirit Academy | 41c | 419.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 410.15$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 406.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 388.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team AION | 56c | 384.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 379.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 378.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 365.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 357.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 347.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 334.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 334.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 320.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 313.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…7b03backed Team AION | 40c | 310.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 303.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 303.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team AION | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Team AION | 42c | 297.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 285$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 247.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 211.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 206.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Team AION | 51c | 202.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 202.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 196.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 195.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 192.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 171.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team AION | 60c | 167.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 147.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 122.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 113.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 104.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 102.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 100.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team AION | 52c | 84.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team AION | 54c | 73.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 73.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed Team AION | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 66.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 63.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Team AION | 58c | 53.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Team AION | 57c | 52.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…0aafbacked Team AION | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team AION | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team AION | 58c | 49.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 47.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Spirit Academy | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe525…9ecbbacked Team AION | 57c | 44.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430d…d3e4backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 43.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 43.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team AION | 56c | 43.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Team AION | 37c | 43.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked Team AION | 56c | 40.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7821…7945backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 40.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 37.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team AION | 62c | 36.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 36.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 36.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Team AION | 63c | 31.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.