Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1d04a7f55efb94a1cad426afcf8c3b002f9150665493d9e7d988d7a2bd06c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Team AION, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 2,820$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.91 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 1,791$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.05 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 1,510$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.19 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 1,054$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.15 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team AION | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team AION | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 899.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team AION | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team AION | 7c | 746.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Team AION | 45c | 721.61$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 721.61$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Spirit Academy | 71c | 691.75$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Team AION | 41c | 589.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 562.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Team AION | 44c | 532$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Team AION | 39c | 517.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team AION | 39c | 499.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Team AION | 50c | 480.92$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 425.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 32c | 416.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…7ef5backed Team AION | 50c | 400.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team AION | 46c | 393.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 392.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team AION | 42c | 365$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team AION | 9c | 359.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team AION | 42c | 297.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team AION | 41c | 282.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team AION | 37c | 277.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 270.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team AION | 26c | 251.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team AION | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Team AION | 44c | 226.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Team AION | 48c | 226.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team AION | 27c | 224.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team AION | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Team AION | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team AION | 42c | 188.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Team AION | 40c | 169.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 40c | 166.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Team AION | 43c | 152.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team AION | 39c | 142.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Team AION | 40c | 122$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team AION | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 112.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Team AION | 20c | 112.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team AION | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team AION | 41c | 108.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 108.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team AION | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team AION | 51c | 92.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 90.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 89.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team AION | 54c | 88.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team AION | 24c | 86.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team AION | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team AION | 41c | 74.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 73.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 72.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team AION | 34c | 68.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team AION | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team AION | 41c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 55.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Team AION | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430d…d3e4backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team AION | 39c | 51.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Team AION | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Team AION | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 47.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team AION | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…698bbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Team AION | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Team AION | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Team AION | 43c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 33.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team AION | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team AION | 43c | 30.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team AION | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Team AION | 41c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team AION | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team AION | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Team AION | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Team AION | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…7b03backed Team AION | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.