TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Under25c20,872$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.611,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under23c6,297$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.1869741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under24c6,078$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.7721347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over75c4,610$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.6714852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c3,247$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.872,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Over77c2,482$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.435248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c1,735$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.262,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over75c1,539$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.751,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under23c1,449$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2323948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6408…63fabacked Over76c1,447$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.37988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+155%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over73c1,366$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.276142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over76c1,318$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7610847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c1,304$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.781,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over76c1,279$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.282744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Over79c1,065$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.79466%62 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Over75c1,047$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.679962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Over76c920.22$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7310949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Over76c766.54$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.973455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a1…0b0cbacked Over79c713.77$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under24c670.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8524643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dca…d9f3backed Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.673256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over80c625.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.123855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Over74c617.64$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.29862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over72c599.14$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under30c595.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6812843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1483…48fabacked Over74c538.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.654946.9%23 W · 26 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over75c523.16$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8128643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12527745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Over76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.533652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Over75c413.33$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3328942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…ebe7backed Over73c411.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.514040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9650155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7503…aa2bbacked Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under28c307.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1837948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under26c304.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.053438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over75c299.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.468749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under24c285.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.862,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over75c270$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.515950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over76c263.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.469646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over76c257.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.481,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Over79c253.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3519052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over75c251.72$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7263458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over76c244.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6163742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over74c217.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5424649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…204cbacked Over74c210$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.76956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6809…6d90backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.511,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over75c186.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over76c184.45$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under23c166$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1813242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619470.6%137 W · 57 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3528647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25fa…bdd0backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3311560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over75c132.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.28355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3318863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.585151%26 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.68045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e0…8de1backed Over75c117.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.541553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Under28c105.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Under27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Under26c103.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.923943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over78c98.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.953,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under25c94.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.376248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb9…f414backed Over77c93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001b…698bbacked Under26c91.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257846.2%36 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under28c86.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2619342%81 W · 112 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb326…43babacked Over75c85.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.494100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e6…2e0bbacked Over75c81.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+77.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf28…6e45backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over76c78.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4540365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under25c76.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8724544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over73c74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6435848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6714358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9447854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed Over75c63.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.883935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under25c60.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1616346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under25c59.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc090…d267backed Over75c59.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981250%6 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under25c56.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over74c53.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.829051.1%46 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under24c53.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3313451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3212935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc1…cccdbacked Over75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.678850%44 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…3866backed Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.