TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof T1, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57b4…b46bbacked Bilibili Gaming65c7,347$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.3329443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked T135c5,006$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.1490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked T135c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.122445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Bilibili Gaming64c2,981$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.271,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Bilibili Gaming62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.971,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T138c1,442$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed T138c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Bilibili Gaming62c1,220$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.571225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,170$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9331137.6%117 W · 194 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Bilibili Gaming64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9988950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed T135c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Bilibili Gaming43c931.42$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7710449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed T136c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Bilibili Gaming64c799.95$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.988547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked T161c769.53$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3110547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed T136c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21680732.8%265 W · 542 L-44.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Bilibili Gaming62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22819959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed T135c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Bilibili Gaming65c565.68$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.995653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Bilibili Gaming63c534.41$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.142,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked T138c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed T136c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.242,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed T136c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T136c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18062151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked T136c499.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9148847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T137c476.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed T135c463.71$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.320649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf0…696fbacked Bilibili Gaming72c461.16$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Bilibili Gaming65c460.61$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.217936.7%29 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Bilibili Gaming65c429$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.156253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Bilibili Gaming65c417.09$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9849346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Bilibili Gaming40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24024234.7%84 W · 158 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked T148c382.28$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.72,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Bilibili Gaming68c332.52$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4132555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Bilibili Gaming68c325$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.96235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed T132c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T138c308.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6463344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed T158c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.999751.5%50 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Bilibili Gaming63c288.07$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.243348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked T136c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.842751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed T136c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed T136c276.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked T146c242.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.278852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed T142c238.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012736.2%46 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Bilibili Gaming42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked T136c236.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512038.3%46 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Bilibili Gaming64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3865063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Bilibili Gaming66c227.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.932339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db5…4d00backed Bilibili Gaming66c220.85$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Bilibili Gaming66c213.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3597254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Bilibili Gaming68c204.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed T137c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7064749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed T134c199.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9938851.3%199 W · 189 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Bilibili Gaming40c198.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.347841%32 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Bilibili Gaming61c194.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9347047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed T136c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T138c183.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.912,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed T139c179.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5626440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Bilibili Gaming65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564035%14 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked T136c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…3d5bbacked Bilibili Gaming65c145.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed T136c145$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1526048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed T137c143.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.139441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed T135c142.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a2…7cbbbacked Bilibili Gaming63c139.97$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2914060%84 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0062…e7b9backed T136c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked T136c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Bilibili Gaming65c138.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.342060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed T136c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed T137c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming63c133.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5793…f9d5backed T135c119.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed T138c118.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455540%22 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3c…4985backed T136c112.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.472231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x552a…8b24backed Bilibili Gaming66c104.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Bilibili Gaming64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T128c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed T136c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed T125c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Bilibili Gaming65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525567.8%173 W · 82 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked T136c99.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…594dbacked T136c94.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed T136c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed T136c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3077246.2%357 W · 415 L+18.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed T135c81.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed T137c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025441.7%106 W · 148 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked T135c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed T135c79.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Bilibili Gaming64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe2…607bbacked T137c76.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285058%29 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Bilibili Gaming65c76.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.344951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Bilibili Gaming68c73.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485151%26 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked T135c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7424544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked T137c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked T137c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257846.2%36 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming61c65.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Bilibili Gaming63c60.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.711,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed T132c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.