CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f71bf2712daa52a14620d2e21b30f8f99f520392e11d9481e4cda6ad684eb25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 5,470$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.65 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 1,680$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 1,478$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 653.25$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 24c | 644$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 610.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 44c | 520.23$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 24c | 335.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 302.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 23c | 253.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 181.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 23c | 156.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 147$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 30c | 140.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 132.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 19c | 130.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 126.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 122.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 122.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 14c | 108.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 106.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 25c | 105.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 99.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…2824backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 97.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 89.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 78.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 30c | 61.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 52.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 47.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 46.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 33c | 42.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 31.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)ex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.