CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3adca436d1fdddcc5c240397d56ff0f46617b57aa2aaa28c40b5086f05efa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 7,295$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.44 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 2,656$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 780$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 463.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 427$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 341.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 282$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 24c | 264.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 240.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 225.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 23c | 217.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 210$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 30c | 208.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 22c | 203.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 27c | 175.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 169.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 33c | 144.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…09dcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 107.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 89.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…2824backed ex-MANA eSports | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 66.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 64.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…0cf1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 55.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 26c | 53.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 52.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 52.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 29.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 20.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)ex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.