CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7c9a13887c124419cb1d19d5c423b6cb6cac2f04c1817d420a5d37972dfde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 1,075$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 19c | 637.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 19c | 614.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 597.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 21c | 597$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 15c | 569$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 500.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 10c | 492.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 19c | 450.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 16c | 347.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 251.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 206.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 12c | 162.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 16c | 155.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 8c | 151.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 14c | 126$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 15c | 118.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 117.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…caf8backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 116.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 13c | 87.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 45.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 27.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)ex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.