CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa569abcebebc65a1da9ce118d869a62e326631807876b8fd7627fad167817250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $759,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.9 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed NIP | 40c | 21,834$8,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,831.43 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NIP | 60c | 18,791$11,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232.78 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked 3DMAX | 41c | 17,476$7,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.02 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 39c | 14,673$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.9 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked NIP | 66c | 14,085$9,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,266.75 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 3DMAX | 40c | 10,619$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.41 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed NIP | 60c | 10,244$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.51 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…6e25backed NIP | 51c | 10,094$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 9,768$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.98 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked NIP | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 42c | 8,654$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.38 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 59c | 7,777$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.38 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…5795backed 3DMAX | 41c | 6,644$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 3DMAX | 61c | 6,602$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.02 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed 3DMAX | 44c | 6,344$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.61 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.39 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed 3DMAX | 58c | 5,254$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.22 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked NIP | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked NIP | 52c | 4,964$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.59 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed NIP | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 3,869$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.51 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed NIP | 58c | 3,634$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.69 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed 3DMAX | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed 3DMAX | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.93 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed NIP | 60c | 2,838$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.8 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed NIP | 45c | 2,430$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.14 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NIP | 48c | 2,400$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked 3DMAX | 46c | 2,393$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 60c | 2,333$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 52c | 2,330$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…f772backed 3DMAX | 58c | 2,237$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 47c | 2,200$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 3DMAX | 53c | 2,102$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…a6febacked NIP | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed 3DMAX | 40c | 2,092$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.93 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NIP | 43c | 2,010$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.62 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 56c | 2,000$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.85 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 50c | 2,000$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.66 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 3DMAX | 39c | 1,775$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.89 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed 3DMAX | 41c | 1,710$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.34 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 40c | 1,704$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 60c | 1,544$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed NIP | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 3DMAX | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 53c | 1,447$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed NIP | 28c | 1,388$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 58c | 1,375$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.45 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed 3DMAX | 44c | 1,370$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed NIP | 31c | 1,355$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.07 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed 3DMAX | 43c | 1,352$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 1,329$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.3 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 1,251$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.17 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 1,243$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 36c | 1,234$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.36 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 59c | 1,219$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.95 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed NIP | 48c | 1,211$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed NIP | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked NIP | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 1,161$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.68 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 57c | 1,134$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.03 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 55c | 1,119$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.88 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed 3DMAX | 59c | 1,094$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.6 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NIP | 60c | 1,065$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed NIP | 59c | 1,061$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.09 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked NIP | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 3DMAX | 40c | 992.75$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.05 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed NIP | 36c | 983.01$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 41c | 948.85$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed 3DMAX | 52c | 931.71$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 917.2$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.32 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed NIP | 38c | 894.38$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 3DMAX | 63c | 893.77$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed NIP | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NIP | 50c | 847.44$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX | 55c | 847.22$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 3DMAX | 51c | 833.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.99 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed NIP | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed NIP | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked NIP | 39c | 822.08$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed NIP | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 811.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.99 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed NIP | 51c | 786.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked NIP | 72c | 775.94$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 59c | 775.45$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed 3DMAX | 46c | 769.84$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed 3DMAX | 53c | 750.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 57c | 747.94$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.18 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 740.02$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.61 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed 3DMAX | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 34c | 717.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 3DMAX | 63c | 709.55$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.