TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HULIGANIof Virtus.pro, HULIGANI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro59c76,299$45,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,020.981,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3913…83cabacked Virtus.pro0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Virtus.pro24c17,123$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.5532549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed HULIGANI38c16,404$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,196.8996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro52c12,765$6,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,621.150832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI38c12,718$4,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.5569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro64c12,078$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,783.211,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro62c11,131$6,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.5130667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro49c10,398$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.4689741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked HULIGANI51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90028159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed HULIGANI37c8,250$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed HULIGANI72c7,860$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.9838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro35c7,390$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Virtus.pro63c6,665$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.1810236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro22c6,656$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.0543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed HULIGANI60c6,210$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+93.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro22c5,876$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.6569132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked HULIGANI37c5,323$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.953647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed HULIGANI54c5,199$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.9333453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI38c4,828$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.7824246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked HULIGANI37c4,750$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.513960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed HULIGANI44c4,527$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.6360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed HULIGANI47c4,270$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.656653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed HULIGANI38c4,048$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.1617651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed HULIGANI51c3,944$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.9910051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked HULIGANI64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked HULIGANI34c3,160$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.399643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed HULIGANI39c3,060$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.0477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro53c2,951$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro20c2,750$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed HULIGANI37c2,714$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.993036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked HULIGANI46c2,706$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.937652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked HULIGANI37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.712141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked HULIGANI40c2,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5609340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked HULIGANI80c2,320$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4644544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Virtus.pro62c2,224$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.6815950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed HULIGANI36c2,150$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3768847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed HULIGANI40c2,125$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.6221158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Virtus.pro7c2,078$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.053323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Virtus.pro35c2,020$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70112253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed HULIGANI61c1,971$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.635737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked HULIGANI36c1,897$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.9342145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed HULIGANI38c1,831$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9548…78d6backed HULIGANI50c1,760$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+71.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Virtus.pro63c1,697$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.128250%41 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Virtus.pro19c1,689$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0422031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked Virtus.pro54c1,659$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.632128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked HULIGANI68c1,653$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.6425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI38c1,638$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.2631936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro62c1,455$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.341,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cb…153bbacked Virtus.pro41c1,395$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed HULIGANI43c1,395$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.3615639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro59c1,378$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.5225266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed HULIGANI39c1,302$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.1515338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro44c1,262$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro62c1,250$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Virtus.pro63c1,200$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75431547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Virtus.pro46c1,182$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked HULIGANI41c1,150$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.510045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Virtus.pro57c1,143$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.618958.4%52 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro45c1,138$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.7991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked HULIGANI75c1,126$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4223561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed HULIGANI42c1,125$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro63c1,091$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.631,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro52c1,090$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Virtus.pro61c1,023$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.142548%12 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed HULIGANI41c1,008$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.828046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked HULIGANI53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed HULIGANI37c991.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3225150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked HULIGANI36c969.85$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.455750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked HULIGANI38c957.89$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.8922340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed HULIGANI35c908.12$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked HULIGANI46c904.4$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1130155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked HULIGANI37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56713251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Virtus.pro62c899.67$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.825547.8%122 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed HULIGANI49c861.3$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5130356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed HULIGANI37c860$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed HULIGANI59c853.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8334667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed HULIGANI36c847$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.433956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked HULIGANI74c845.11$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.914540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed HULIGANI35c842.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.948934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2272…b4f5backed Virtus.pro61c841.96$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…a0c7backed HULIGANI36c833$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro62c830$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.627060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed HULIGANI42c813$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.548425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed HULIGANI45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44015650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro45c799.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35751364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro62c798.48$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.621,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Virtus.pro62c792.09$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Virtus.pro21c789.08$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7119338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed HULIGANI52c754.52$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8419249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Virtus.pro44c749.01$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5442053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked HULIGANI40c741.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.1920738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Virtus.pro63c712.73$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0231055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Virtus.pro62c710$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.28042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Virtus.pro63c704.76$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44420859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro35c696.44$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.421,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc5…4ba1backed Virtus.pro9c672.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.