Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0128b7d744bec41c19c3a341021269101cef263329e23b76237044a6ac3c0dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 48,045$29,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,676.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 22,592$13,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,025.83 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed HULIGANI | 10c | 17,963$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.53 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed HULIGANI | 40c | 13,360$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 12,146$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 12,099$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.42 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 11,475$6,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.08 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked HULIGANI | 17c | 10,504$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.66 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 7,696$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.62 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 6,509$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.89 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed HULIGANI | 39c | 6,466$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 6,078$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.17 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 6,003$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.84 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed HULIGANI | 38c | 5,952$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed HULIGANI | 19c | 5,118$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 4,834$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.58 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked HULIGANI | 2c | 4,768$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 4,632$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed HULIGANI | 35c | 4,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked HULIGANI | 38c | 3,869$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed HULIGANI | 39c | 3,809$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed HULIGANI | 36c | 3,569$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked HULIGANI | 35c | 3,349$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HULIGANI | 7c | 3,123$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed HULIGANI | 22c | 3,040$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.92 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed HULIGANI | 36c | 2,956$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.63 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 2,755$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked HULIGANI | 39c | 2,207$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.7 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 2,147$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.67 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed HULIGANI | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed HULIGANI | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HULIGANI | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed HULIGANI | 38c | 1,851$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.4 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked HULIGANI | 22c | 1,843$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,730$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HULIGANI | 33c | 1,595$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked HULIGANI | 2c | 1,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked HULIGANI | 14c | 1,548$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked HULIGANI | 11c | 1,494$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,417$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI | 43c | 1,381$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI | 5c | 1,350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 1,339$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HULIGANI | 39c | 1,183$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.83 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed HULIGANI | 37c | 1,151$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.41 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,078$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,078$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 1,034$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.65 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 1,026$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 1,023$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,005$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed HULIGANI | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.08 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,000$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed HULIGANI | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 983.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked HULIGANI | 36c | 851.28$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.16 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HULIGANI | 37c | 850.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 844.12$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed HULIGANI | 40c | 786.36$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked HULIGANI | 31c | 784.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed HULIGANI | 39c | 768.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 750$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed HULIGANI | 39c | 670.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed HULIGANI | 33c | 664$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed HULIGANI | 40c | 662.01$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed HULIGANI | 40c | 610.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 585.07$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed HULIGANI | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked HULIGANI | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed HULIGANI | 39c | 526$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked HULIGANI | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed HULIGANI | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 493$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed HULIGANI | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed HULIGANI | 38c | 477$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed HULIGANI | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 470.72$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked HULIGANI | 38c | 468$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed HULIGANI | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 406.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 403.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed HULIGANI | 10c | 393.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed HULIGANI | 38c | 382.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed HULIGANI | 6c | 364.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 355.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed HULIGANI | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked HULIGANI | 35c | 335.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.