Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206ccc90d0f200b7dd5688b7d20069050c7312d45f66041c813bc46f2d08dac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 39c | 7,073$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 4,408$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 4,315$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 40c | 3,140$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.74 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 61c | 1,932$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.83 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 61c | 1,434$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.13 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 35c | 1,413$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 1,328$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 1,090$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 920.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…364cbacked Yes | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 31c | 870.22$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 62c | 682.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 44c | 673.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.28 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 500.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…6e53backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 34c | 410.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 404.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 39c | 403$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 398.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 65c | 398.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 393.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 66c | 380$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 371.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 36c | 361.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 58c | 300.03$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 298.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 256.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 217.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 211.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 39c | 194.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 192.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…100bbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 131.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…8ed1backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…79e1backed Yes | 39c | 121.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4976backed Yes | 39c | 115.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 104.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…b190backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…6304backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…cc24backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 93.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 73c | 92.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 63c | 83.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 60c | 81.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b28backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…dc73backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 38c | 78.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 76.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 39c | 75.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 40c | 74.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 64.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 41c | 63.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 68c | 58.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…87f4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 39c | 55.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…9d77backed Yes | 38c | 52.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…fe7fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…e110backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…cb9bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 54c | 48.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6280…434abacked Yes | 42c | 47.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 34c | 47.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 43.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 63c | 41.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…7083backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…2fd6backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…a3babacked Yes | 31c | 38.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…0411backed Yes | 39c | 31.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Yes | 44c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -12.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 43c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…6a16backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…48c8backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…1f4dbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?this page
- Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?Yes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.