TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xace5…7083

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$58.43
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$51.33
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+322.6%+$538.8
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.